Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

[draggs]

I know this is from a LARP slide thread, but if only it was real (and not the plot from a COD game).
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God, I love the smell of  napalm autism in the morning

 

[Sensitive Young Man]

I know this is from a LARP slide thread, but if only it was real (and not the plot from a COD game).
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A worrying development…

Obviously bullshit but it’s fun to speculate. Is he talking about a novel aircraft in the line of a TR-3B or a Tic Tac?

 

[Scout Trooper]

It's still going on

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Faytuks Network tally shows 126 U.S. land-based fighter aircraft now positioned or heading toward the CENTCOM theater.

Significant forward posture shift in just days.

In the past 24 hours, 6 USAF E-3G Sentry AWACS aircraft have been observed deploying from the U.S. to Europe:

• 2x E-3Gs (DENALI 01 & 02) from Elmendorf AFB, Alaska to RAF Mildenhall, UK
• 4x E-3Gs (SHUCK 83, 84, 85 & 86) from Tinker AFB, Oklahoma to Ramstein AFB, Germany


(USAF has only 18 E-3 planes)

The scale and timing of this movement point to a clear shift in U.S. force posture as the military buildup tied to the Middle East accelerates. Large E-3 deployments are widely seen as a late-stage indicator ahead of potential major air operations.

Holy cow, brother. I thought that was a time elapse image.

RCH flights now include KC-135s as well as no-callsign KC-135s interspersed among the traffic.

This past week I also observed Kuwaiti, Qatari, British, German, and UAE heavy lift making repeated trips to Germany, UK, and US airbases.

Feels like 3rd down. Once Ford gets into theater we'll be 4th and goal.

 

[God of Nothing]

I know this is from a LARP slide thread, but if only it was real (and not the plot from a COD game).
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say what?
was that really in the games?
i haven't played any of the modern slop so i wouldn't know

 

[Sensitive Young Man]

say what?
was that really in the games?
i haven't played any of the modern slop so i wouldn't know

I mean I think a nuke went off in MW2 but that’s where the similarities end

 

[Blue Flying Leaf]

This is simply incorrect. The operational lifetime of a naval reactor is defined in how long it can provide the full power requirements of the vessel, in units of "effective full-power days", which is expected to be 23-25 years for the Nimitz/Ford class

Literature mentioned that it's 20-25 years for the average type of consumption, which includes the usual loads without hammering the drive. I have never seen the actual number mentioned and it is probably classified. HEU reactors don't run well as enrichment drops and the poison is same limiting factor as in civilian reactors. When you reach 50% burn rate, it's over. Nimitz starts with 93% HEU fuel and with reasonable 2% burn rate/yr, that breaks to 21,5yrs at 50% HEU and a bit more (23,25) if you drop to half burn of 46,5%, which matches the stated life. The drive itself has to be capable of achieving higher rating than on nameplate, which drops over time as well as sustaining speed so it aids in aircraft taking off or landing. The depletion they mention is probably when the drive is no longer usable to sustain minimum ships demands. The reactor itself burns unevenly with central core loosing enrichment faster than the skirt. Since it is a sealed design with no refueling options, they can only ride it till "wheels fall off." Running it with all control rods out is probably still prohibited, unless in war emergency, so you'll never see the full reach of life on this thing. They can reshuffle them around, but you can't do much at this point.

A nimitz class reactor can provide all the vessel's power requirements for its entire operational lifetime. That means it can theoretically run at flank speed with all the lights on and every system running at full power, while desalinating water at maximum capacity (if the crew wants to do that for some stupid reason), right up to the day it goes in for its refuelling complex overhaul. That exact date of the RCOH is based on the output of the reactor and other factors such as general wear and tear and planned upgrades, but it is set firmly by the calculated output of the reactor itself. If the ship is limited to "half steam" then it should have been in for its overhaul years ago.

It still comes back home from mission and sits in dock. Time spent there is the time not steaming and not burning fuel The actual power demand of ship is less than reactors can output, same goes for desal. Design is usually made that one functioning reactor can provide full power so there's way more than enough to spare. That's why the life time is averaged. Sitting in dock also "replenishes" some of the fuel as poisons die off.

Iran has supposedly acquired China's Anti-Stealth radar. Norinco is taking a gamble allowing them to use it. When it fails there goes any sales they might get.

It is also free data harvesting operation with US birds on open seas with perfect reflection and signal response. It is worth more than the shitty export version chinks have given to the irks.

I remember reading an article by some Israeli general from the 90s that said Israel has been in danger of being over reliant on its air force to the detriment of its ground forces. The last lebanon war they weren't able to advance deeper into the country due to fierce resistance so they just started more bombing. The last large engagement where they took a sizable amount of territory was gaza, right? And the ground fighting there wasnt anything close to a war between two modern nation states.

That is the US doctrine with ... US weapons. I-US avoid having troops on ground due to poor public response. Cause shit and run away is more appealing to US public than another Iraq, Fagganistan and Vietnam.
Having all men walking out in some desert also kills your industrial production.

I know this is from a LARP slide thread, but if only it was real (and not the plot from a COD game).
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Half the Iranian leaders are mossad agents. It's really meaningless how they shuffle the cards

 

[3-2-1836]

but if the Iranians shut down the strait (which they will try), it will raise global barrel prices.

Praise Allah Trump just showed the commies in Venezuela the blinding light of freedom and they have conveniently became the newest US Territory

 

[Burnt Fish]

Praise Allah Trump just showed the commies in Venezuela the blinding light of freedom and they have conveniently became the newest US Territory

In this short of order I wouldn't expect much impact due to Venezuela. Half of the problem with the country was that they were not doing anything with their oil and old American companies equipment was abandoned and not maintained. The oil in the ground in the country is huge, the amount they are equipped to extract at current is not and they can do very little to offset the disruption to global oil supply should Iran decide to start mining the straight (which is less of a question of IF they will and rather a question of WHEN)

 

[Suburban Bastard]

I’ve been looking at the assets being sent in and lmao, I think he wants to literally murder the entire regime.

 

[Ghostse]

US is putting its amassed force to work, pounding ISIS to get ready for the big game.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/us-strikes-isis-targets-syria/

Ten U.S. military strikes in Syria hit more than 30 Islamic State targets in Syria earlier this month, as it continues "relentless military pressure" on the terrorist network there, U.S. Central Command announced Saturday.

CENTCOM, which oversees U.S. military operations in the Middle East, said U.S. forces hit ISIS infrastructures and weapons storage targets between Feb. 3 and Feb. 12.

The strikes were part of Operation Hawkeye Strike, which was launched in retaliation for an ISIS ambush that killed Sgt. Edgar Brian Torres-Tovar, Sgt. William Nathaniel Howard and an interpreter in Palmyra, Syria, on Dec. 13.

President Trump vowed "very serious retaliation" in a Truth Social post after the ambush.

On Dec. 19, the U.S. launched airstrikes against ISIS targets in Syria in retaliation. More than 70 targets were hit in those strikes, a U.S. official told CBS News at the time.

In January, U.S. forces killed Bilal Hasan al-Jasim, who authorities said was a leader affiliated with Al-Qaeda, allegedly directly connected with the ISIS gunman accused of the deadly ambush.

"The death of a terrorist operative linked to the deaths of three Americans demonstrates our resolve in pursuing terrorists who attack our forces," Central Command Commander Adm. Brad Cooper said in a statement at the time. "There is no safe place for those who conduct, plot, or inspire attacks on American citizens and our warfighters. We will find you."

More than 50 ISIS terrorists have been killed or captured and more than 100 ISIS infrastructure targets have been hit during the operation, CENTCOM said on Saturday.

On Friday, U.S. military forces completed the transfer of thousands of ISIS detainees from Syria to Iraq, where they are expected to stand trial in the future.

CENTCOM said that the transfer that began on Jan. 21 saw U.S. forces transporting more than 5,700 adult male ISIS suspects from detention facilities in Syria to Iraqi custody.

The prisoners were transferred to Iraq at the request of Baghdad — a move welcomed by the U.S.-led coalition that had for years fought against ISIS.

"We appreciate Iraq's leadership and recognition that transferring the detainees is essential to regional security," Cooper said.

It's not clear if any of the prisoners have been charged with specific crimes or even been confirmed as ISIS members.

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How many BM's does Iran have? I am not as much concerned about ships as I am with the air bases.

I'm going to tl;dr super hard here.
Shaheeds are shitty attack drones. The jet powered ones are better but have control issues. Anyway, the air defense for both sides in Ukraine has suffered due to length of the border, number of potential targets, and short response time.
Shaheeds are also not very sturdy.

If Iran attempts to ZergRush! KEKEKEKEKE the USN, the navy will have IIRC north of an hour until the Shaheeds are on them. They will also know exactly where those shaheeds are going, and every target they are headed to will have anti-air defense. It'd be a turkey shoot.

Regarding Ballistics, Iran's targeting isnt' even close to there. The ships are doing evasive maneuvers. And Iran knows that if they deploy their missiles in an aggressive, naval launch manner they will likely get first struck by the US.

lol 2000 drones

That would be more than twice as large as the biggest drone attack in history: 800 Shaheds by Russia last fall. 60 got through. ~30 USN capital ships have far more capable anti-air than Ukraine does

The largest ballistic missile attack in history was Oct 1 2024 by Iran. 200 missiles launched at Israel. About 10% got through, most at Nevatim air base, and did no real damage except blowing a hole in the roof of a hangar. Iran has thousands of missiles but many fewer missile launchers. The US has shipped many more air defense units into CENTCOM than it had there last summer

There are also issues when you put a bunch of drones and missiles into the air of them effectively bumping into each other.

I saw something about a week ago claiming that there was a SOAR mob in the region, but haven't seen any mention of it since then.

I assume that US SpecOps do any serious tunnel/confined space combat training? I know we do and have always its something that is wargamed together.

They are going to need it for those rabbit warrens.

Supposedly US Green Berrets are on the ground working with the resistance which is why its proven very resilient even in the face of extreme governmental reaction and oppression. They are why the US sent the starlink terminals.

US Special Forces have been doing explicit bunker and subterranean complex training recently. This is very likely why.

In this short of order I wouldn't expect much impact due to Venezuela. Half of the problem with the country was that they were not doing anything with their oil and old American companies equipment was abandoned and not maintained. The oil in the ground in the country is huge, the amount they are equipped to extract at current is not and they can do very little to offset the disruption to global oil supply should Iran decide to start mining the straight (which is less of a question of IF they will and rather a question of WHEN)

Thier oil is also absolute shit-tier.
The main consequence of Venezuela re-entering the global oil market is turd-world shitholes won't compete with the 2nd world for oil anymore, and 2nd world won't compete with the 1st world.

 

[draggs]

There are also issues when you put a bunch of drones and missiles into the air of them effectively bumping into each other.

Yeah but what about Shaheds being litrul wizards that can cast Firaga

 

[Bahnhader]

Can Trump just RAPE these useless mullah niggers already I'm tired of waiting to see their fall

 

[Catch The Rainbow]

How many E3s are already on station in CENTCOM besides these?

No idea

It's still going on:

https://x.com/Osint613/status/2024068210660643009

 

[Montalbane]

Yeah but what about Shaheds being litrul wizards that can cast Firaga
k10JohQFkk8zsjDQ.mp4

I need more of this.
Delusional AI slop keeps me going.

 

[The Dude]

Can Trump just RAPE these useless mullah niggers already I'm tired of waiting to see their fall

It takes time to get forces allocated properly, assets moved into the right positions, intelligence verified, the most effective strategies and tactics planned out. If you go off half-cocked then you're just asking for failure. The first Gulf War was arguably the most successful major military operation of all time, but it took weeks of planning, logistics, and deployment before they committed. This isn't dropping a handful of MOPs to make a point. This is (likely) to end the Iranian dictatorship as cleanly and effectively as possible, which absolutely cannot be rushed in to.

 

[Dojima's Dragon]

Its so cute how Persians think anyone can actually tell them apart from Arabs.

Also fuck you WE ARE NOT ARAB YOU ANUS STRETCHER! I suggest goatse'ing the ayatollah and hide him in uranus!

America teaming up with Russia against China

Given that his stuff came at a time when there was a legitimate belief that murica and russia could become allies. I can see how people believed that. Especially as someone who believes that China is a bigger threat to the world order than a bunch of slavs are. I just really wish the political elite(and the deep state) of both nations didn't just brainwash their populace into acting like turbo retards towards each other and over the Ukraine kerfuffle.

he was shot in the face.

I hope every fucking [REDACTED ELSE NULL WILL FUCK ME] pali roach gets blown to smithreens. Israel was unironically right about these cockroaches brainwashing them from a [REDACTED] age. Level gaza to the point even post nuke Hiroshima looks better. Lord im FUCKIN MATI.

So, 20k glowies ack'd

What is with retards like you and thinking EVERYONES A CIA NIGGER?

 

[mindlessobserver]

It's still going on

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Faytuks Network tally shows 126 U.S. land-based fighter aircraft now positioned or heading toward the CENTCOM theater.

Significant forward posture shift in just days.

In the past 24 hours, 6 USAF E-3G Sentry AWACS aircraft have been observed deploying from the U.S. to Europe:

• 2x E-3Gs (DENALI 01 & 02) from Elmendorf AFB, Alaska to RAF Mildenhall, UK
• 4x E-3Gs (SHUCK 83, 84, 85 & 86) from Tinker AFB, Oklahoma to Ramstein AFB, Germany


(USAF has only 18 E-3 planes)

The scale and timing of this movement point to a clear shift in U.S. force posture as the military buildup tied to the Middle East accelerates. Large E-3 deployments are widely seen as a late-stage indicator ahead of potential major air operations.

This is a big yikes. That many AWACS leaving CONUS along with the fighter wings is a strong indication of this weekend being "zero hour". That many aircraft cant stay foreword deployed for extended periods. The supply chain for it simply is not there. Delaying the strikes even a week runs the risk of something breaking and needing to be fixed.

The only counter indication though is the Gerald Ford is still a week away. It should transit the Straits of Gibraltar this weekend, which would indicate next weekend being a more likely scenario. Also, pour one out for the boys on the Ford. They are about to set a record long deployment for a carrier.

 

[teriyakiburns]

The only counter indication though is the Gerald Ford is still a week away. It should transit the Straits of Gibraltar this weekend, which would indicate next weekend being a more likely scenario.

There's a possibility that the timetable has been accelerated after the Russia/Ukraine talks failed again. I'm not sure why they'd be connected, but it's a hell of a coincidence that the talks failed last night (today's session was pro forma before the official announcement of no agreement) and then all these tankers take to the air right after.

 

[888Flux]

 

[mindlessobserver]

There's a possibility that the timetable has been accelerated after the Russia/Ukraine talks failed again. I'm not sure why they'd be connected, but it's a hell of a coincidence that the talks failed last night (today's session was pro forma before the official announcement of no agreement) and then all these tankers take to the air right after.

The USA was also negotiating with Iran at the same time in Geneva. It was a rare double header event. Which probably says how much faith the USA had in both negotiations getting anywhere. It was just one of those "check the box" things that are required before the USA takes another country to Flavor Town.