What's with the massive gap between diesel and petrol?, only now it seems to have diverged
tl;dr: Diesel is more fungable, able to be moved more readily, and has much less elastic demand than gas, plus visibility considerations.
-More countries use and demand diesel, the market is much more competitive.
-Gasoline stores less well, so is usually not bulk-shipped far from its refining source, verses diesel which is transported in bulk regularly. that is, an Exxon refinery in Oakland would have bit of trouble shipping gasoline to Japan, but much less logistics headaches sending diesel.
-Diesel is used mostly by industry and commercial who are much less able to scale back purchases. If gas gets completely nutso, I can carpool with coworkers or do a park-and-ride. I can also just say "we aren't visiting Grandma this year".
- Gasoline is a more "visible" price to voters and there is significant pressure on companies to keep prices low lest the government start asking questions about their operations.
- Diesel also can be artificially inflated by 'fleet stations' where the published price is insane but is not what the corporate clients of the station actually pay.
What I don't understand is why Iran doesn't just pretend to agree to all or most of America's demands, and just reneg later?
Just roll over an play dead for a few months to get the blockade ended, and most American offensive assets removed from the region then go right back to doing your business as usual derkaderka/multipooolering shit.
tl;dr: One of the US demands is they can't just use live ammo on protestors anymore. the IRGC knows that if they can't brutally supress popular protests/uprising, they will not survive to September.
trump isn't Obama and is intended to actually hold the IRGC to the agreement.
How many tracks they running in Iran? How many locomotives they have? How many tank cars?
That railroad and the one to china are single-track for large stretches through mountains.
I think this war highlights even further how big of a fuck up America's approach to iraq
and Saddam was
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Saddam would've invaded Syria in 2012 and knock a Central Iranian ally early.
He would've continued to fund the Christian millitas in Lebanon which would've contested Hezbollah's influence.
He would certainly invade Ahvaz (the majority iraqi oil rich era in iran) and making sure the strait is open.
He'd probably do some retarded shit against Israel tho.
Saddam of the 2000's was not the Saddam of the 70s. Iran/Iraq and Desert storm, to a large degree, broke him. Saddam turned more inward, blaming Iraq's loss on "traitors" and may have acquired a drug addition as well. He was paranoid and delusional, and allowed his people to starve and suffer needlessly.
Saddam was a retard who couldn't beat "human" waves of 12 year old Persoids despite being given half the Warsaw Pact's surplus guns and ammo AND a constant stream of American satellite and other surveillance intel
Saddam's problem was he lead an army full of, allah forgive me, Arabs.
He was also attacking a country twice his size and had made no provision for logistics to manage any actual, true nation-state threatening attacks.
Huh? Wasn't his Iraqi Baath party and the governing Syrian Baath party allies?
Saddam may not have been bad, but his eldest son and heir was a monster.
Saddam owed pretty much the entire Arab world after Iran/Iraq, a mission he'd taken on to try to be Arab Simon Bolivar, that included Syria.
Saddam was offered loans to keep the fight going, when the war ended he expected debt forgiveness given he'd taken on Iran for "the good of the pan-Arab nation" and was told "lol fucking lol now pay up." hence the chimp out that lead to Desert Storm.
Ya Allah, please do make the first move & actually terminate the ceasefire Iran, you're becoming our only hope to end the blueballing.
So what I'm reading there is Iran assuring us that the ceasefire is still intact. At least for the next few days.
The Ceasefire is OVER in a few days
The Agreement is REACHED in a few days
This ceasefire is a chink finger trap inside the event horizon of a black hole. Were here forever. Nothing left but nigging all the way down.
The ceasefire is still intact.
Buy Iranian Rials.
If anything, trying to pull that trick would just give Trump a decent amount of relief both economically and politically for the midterms, while giving them nowhere near enough time to rebuild prior to us just coming back in and wrecking them without an electoral ticking clock hanging over our heads. The thing about being a real superpower is that we can recover a hell of a lot faster than they can.
Draining the Strait of ships would utterly cripple Iran's leverage, and why Trump is making that priority one of any deal.
Trump knows this and is playing hardball, which is why he's not falling for the Obama gay shit of giving them concessions before they put up their end of the bargain. Trump is so far rightly treating them like dishonest arabs they are.
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Not sure why the US isn't more alarmed by this. Maybe they're hoping they can get Iran to expose their missiles and launchers out in the open for airstrikes versus putting boots on the ground going door to door at each base destroying them? Seems like a risky move by the US. Irans going to use different tactics to avoid having their launchers exposed as much as possible.
tl;dr: The facilities are still fucked. the entrances collapsed and the internals are likely completely fucked, not to mention all the fuel and explosives that have been spilled and knocked around
@Mr. Racewar1488 covers it pretty well.
Just because they unburied the entrances doesn't mean the bases are safe to enter. What kind of structural damage is there to the tunnels? Are the airshafts clear?
Most importantly: Do they have working radon detectors?
https://youtube.com/watch?v=kPZteHVZQZI
Missiles and Drones are safu.
Theres a running joke in Iran that Netanyahu works for the Iranian National Gas Company because so many 'natural gas explosions' seem to happen to IRGC officials.
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Broke: Strap me a missile and fire me at Tehran
Bespoke: Buckle me into a first class 787 seat to go inspect gas hookups in Tehran.