Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

[GoybeamFireSupportOfficer]

If Trump was that concerned about the war affecting the midterm elections as the reason he's been so super cautious and war-repellant right now, why didn't he just do this AFTER those elections have concluded?, late 2026-2027 was the time frame to do what he needs without worrying any of that at all?, would Iran have been that much harder to deal with in November compared to late February?

Yes, it would have been much harder. A convergence of time-sensitive factors was the entire reason he attacked Iran. Some factors made the attack more likely to succeed in the medium term: the collapse of the rial, severe drought and public dissatisfaction with the regime.

But the most important factors required striking immediately: Iran's massacre of its own citizens after Trump said he would protect them, Iran's nuclear program nearing the production of highly enriched uranium, and the opportunity presented by a meeting of top Islamic Republic officials. Waiting until November would have allowed Iran to successfully produce weapons-grade uranium and lost the best chance at a decapitation strike.

 

[draggs]

It's not true and the blockade is only partially effective.

Reminder that the world's premier ship tracking service has admitted that zero ships leaving Iranian ports have managed to successfully pass the blockade, the same for ships heading to Iranian ports, except for a handful of ships carrying humanitarian aid. Only commercial ships leaving or going to the GCC have passed, as they were never included in the blockade

 

[NKVD qt]

The U.S. and Israel are working on a plan to end Jordan’s custodianship of the Al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem and replace it with a new Israeli-backed “multi-faith” administration, according to Middle East Eye.

Bibi hear my prayer, turn Al-Aqsa into a multi faith parking lot and my soul is yours.

"Brother Muhammed Mahmoud bin Mohamed please turn right onto parking space Martyrs-of-the-faith-15"

 

[Mr. Racewar1488]

The dead and gay Ayatollah will make sure AmeriKKKa has nowhere to pursue its mischief and Israel will be gone in 15 years.

0:43

Iranian pilgrims in Mecca on the day of Arafah chanted slogans against Israel and the America, and in support of Ayatollah Khamenei

Iranians are the only group of pilgrims that are tolerated by Saudi Arabia to make political slogans during Hajj.


Iran wants $24billion now. The $12billion is just the first half.


UAE kicks out thousands of Paki Shi'ites.


The Iranian Foreign Ministry has released a statement condemning the United States' aggression last night and says, "Iran will not leave any evil unanswered and will not hesitate to defend the Iranian nation":

The US terrorist army, continuing its illegal and unjustified actions since the ceasefire was declared on April 10, 1405, especially the numerous cases of maritime piracy against Iranian commercial ships in the past 48 hours, committed a gross violation of the ceasefire in the Hormozgan region.

The commission of these aggressive acts, simultaneously with the ongoing diplomatic process mediated by Pakistan, once again revealed the US ruling party's callousness and perfidy to the Iranian nation, the people of the region, and the international community, and showed that the principled approach of the Iranian nation in all three areas, the street and diplomacy, is based on deep suspicion of the US regime, based on logic and a deep understanding of its vindictive and criminal nature and actions against the Iranian people.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran strongly condemns these aggressive actions, which are a clear violation of Article 2, Paragraph 4, of the United Nations Charter, as well as the ceasefire of Farvardin 19, 1405, and holds the US regime responsible for all consequences resulting from these aggressive actions.

Without a doubt, the Islamic Republic of Iran will not leave any evil unanswered and will not hesitate to defend the Iranian nation.

A memorial was set up in the Arafat plain to remember the Minab students who were killed in the US-Israeli aggression against Iran. They're going to milk this for the next fifty years if we don't exterminate the entirety of the IRGC.

In recent hours, thousands of elevator displays in buildings, as well as advertising screens in commercial units across the occupied territories, were hacked by Handala, and images of the Resistance Front and the martyred leader were displayed on them. We warn the enemy that in the cyber domain, just as the Commander-in-Chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps declared, you will receive painful blows!

Iranian scripted kiddies hacked elevator displays with their cringe Axis of Retardation message.

 

[Cheese Squeeze]

Reminder that the world's premier ship tracking service has admitted that zero ships leaving Iranian ports have managed to successfully pass the blockade

Reminder that iran has a several thousand miles land border with railways plus ports on the caspian sea. Also I wonder if they're being cheeky and using gwada in pakistan which is about about 70 miles from iran.

 

[High Heeled Insertion]

A memorial was set up in the Arafat plain to remember the Minab students who were killed in the US-Israeli aggression against Iran. They're going to milk this for the next fifty years if we don't exterminate the entirety of the IRGC.

Why do those backpacks have ketchup on them?

 

[CIS White Droid]

A memorial was set up in the Arafat plain to remember the Minab students who were killed in the US-Israeli aggression against Iran. They're going to milk this for the next fifty years if we don't exterminate the entirety of the IRGC.

The more they kvetch about this the more inclined I am to think it's a hoax. I would absolutely not put it past Iran to ship in child corpses for staged photos to clutch at heart strings.

 

[Wiggerlicious]

The more they kvetch about this the more inclined I am to think it's a hoax.

Cool it with the antisemitic remarks.

 

[Cheese Squeeze]

They're going to milk this for the next fifty years if we don't exterminate the entirety of the IRGC

Maybe. Maybe not. You don't really hear about iran air flight 655, the airbus A300 that the US navy shot down in iranian airspace in 1988 killing 290.

 

[Post Reply]

Maybe. Maybe not. You don't really hear about iran air flight 655, the airbus A300 that the US navy shot down in iranian airspace in 1988 killing 290.

Only because they accidentally shot down Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 in 2020 after we turned Soleimani into a pancake. Blowing away their own airliner full of innocent civilians kind of ruined the grift.

 

[Russell Coight]

 

[Mike_Israeltel]

It's not true and the blockade is only partially effective. Don't hold your breath waiting for iran to run out of money china are almost certainly propping them up.

Is this more "blockade runner" fantasies? Iran isn't exporting oil by sea. An oil tanker is enormous, slow, and impossible to hide. As previously stated, this isn't 1812 nor even 1860.

Or are you a "muh trucks and Caspian" dork?

It takes, quite literally, do the math, tens of thousands of truckloads to equal a single VLCC. Never mind how astronomically expensive exporting millions of barrels to Pakistan that way would be, am I to believe Iran had that sort of spare trucking capacity just sitting around? Fuck outta here.

Muh Caspian-- again we have not only a capacity issue, because it's hard to portage an oil tanker over the Zagros mountains, but also a throughput issue, as Azerbaijan, a petrostate with close US ties won't be importing Iranian crude, and Kazakhstan and Turkestan are landlocked, so the only option is exporting to Russia, another heaviky sanctioned petrostate, and expecting Putin to set aside his own revenue so he can use his very limited and often bombed export capacity to make money for Iran, instead.


When I have to write a sentence that long to encompass your dumbness, you should know shame.

 

[Cheese Squeeze]

Is this more "blockade runner" fantasies? Iran isn't exporting oil by sea.

Who said anything about oil? Though I suppose it could be possible. Allegedly the IEA oil report for may says iran is still exporting 1.4mbpd but the full report is paywalled so that can't be verified.
The blockade isn't going to work. They can receive supplies by land+caspian and they're getting economic support from china.

 

[1999 prick]

New UMTO report.
Master of a tanker ship reported an external explosion, both crew and vessel are safe.
Still no reports of the source.
Link

 

[Mr. Racewar1488]

NetBlocks live metrics indicate that internet connectivity is slowly being restored in Iran after 88 days, the longest nationwide internet blackout in modern history.

0:12

Israeli warplanes conducted airstrikes on Nabatieh, southern Lebanon


Israeli warplanes carried out airstrikes on Kfartebnit, Khirbet Selm, and Zawtar al-Gharbiyah in southern Lebanon.


Scenes from Maarakah, southern Lebanon, following an Israeli attack.


Sultan of Oman signed a decree to increase trade with Iran.

 

[Unredacted TND]

Wyświetl załącznik 9060174
Wyświetl załącznik 9060173Wyświetl załącznik 9060170

Mr. Netanyahu, kill this nigger.

Iran wants $24billion now. The $12billion is just the first half.

It seems like "US will buy uranium from Iran" may be true.

 

[teriyakiburns]

Reminder that iran has a several thousand miles land border with railways plus ports on the caspian sea. Also I wonder if they're being cheeky and using gwada in pakistan which is about about 70 miles from iran.

None of which has remotely the capacity of their gulf ports. All of Iran's caspian terminals combined have less cargo capacity than just Bandar Abas. And Gawadar? Did you just look for the first pakistani port you could find on the map and drop its name? It's tiny. I mean sure, in 20 more years it might be large enough to compete with Iran's main ports, assuming China doesn't run out of money, but right now it has two small berths and not even a railway connection.

 

[Quindoll]

Reminder that the world's premier ship tracking service has admitted that zero ships leaving Iranian ports have managed to successfully pass the blockade, the same for ships heading to Iranian ports, except for a handful of ships carrying humanitarian aid. Only commercial ships leaving or going to the GCC have passed, as they were never included in the blockade

I'd be careful about hoping the blockade is going to be decisive.

To quote the book Chokepoints: American Power in the Age of Economic Warfare:

In August 1990, Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein launched an invasion of Kuwait, Iraq’s small, oil-rich neighbor. Iraqi forces rapidly occupied Kuwait, and Saddam summarily annexed it, designating Kuwait the nineteenth province of Iraq. [...]

Within days of the attack, the UN Security Council unanimously adopted a resolution banning all trade with Iraq. The UN’s condition for lifting sanctions was the withdrawal of all Iraqi forces from Kuwait.

Because every UN member state was legally obligated to comply with the resolution and a U.S.-led naval blockade implemented the policy by force, the sanctions devastated Iraq’s economy. Trade with Iraq plummeted. The country’s oil sales, which accounted for 60 percent of its GDP and nearly all of its export earnings, were almost wiped out in a matter of months. For a moment, it seemed as if the post–Cold War United Nations could redeem Woodrow Wilson’s vision and check military aggression by economic pressure alone. Speaking before Congress in September 1990, President George H. W. Bush struck a tone of accomplishment. “We’re now in sight of a United Nations,” he said, “that performs as envisioned by its founders.” But he’d spoken too soon. Weeks dragged into months, and Saddam refused to reverse course. Eventually, the UN Security Council authorized military action to expel Iraqi troops from Kuwait.

The ensuing war wasn’t much of a fight. It took just 100 hours for U.S. and allied forces to rout the Iraqi military in February 1991

Iraq was way heavier relying on oil revenue abd went without it for month. Would probably longer if they weren't defeated militarily. So I kind of expect that Iran can stomach a blockade for months, years even.

It's a pressure point, but I think the importance is overstated

 

[Cheese Squeeze]

None of which has remotely the capacity of their gulf ports. All of Iran's caspian terminals combined have less cargo capacity than just Bandar Abas. And Gawadar? Did you just look for the first pakistani port you could find on the map and drop its name? It's tiny. I mean sure, in 20 more years it might be large enough to compete with Iran's main ports, assuming China doesn't run out of money, but right now it has two small berths and not even a railway connection.

So what? They don't need 100% capacity. A blockade that leaves dozens of supply routes open isn't much of a blockade.

 

[teriyakiburns]

So what? They don't need 100% capacity. A blockade that leaves dozens of supply routes open isn't much of a blockade.

A blockade that leaves them with a tiny fraction of their import/export capacity is working just fine.