So I was doomscrolling Twitter looking for a hit of that sweet sweet dopamine, now that I can’t have my coffee with Scott anymore, and what eventually snagged my interest was a rando complaining about how this or that would lead to a US civil war.
And after thinking about it for a second, I realized that an actual out and out armed conflict like that is EXTREMELY unlikely, because the structure of the military isn’t the same as it was in the 1860’s.
You don’t have exclusively Californians manning bases in California, with an officer corps from California. The state you grew up in really doesn’t fucking matter anymore. So what other entities could a military unit attach itself to, outside of the greater body of the armed forces?
We’re facing insurrection constantly, sure. But the responsibility of those decisions rests entirely on the executives who issue the policies, and they only exist as permitted by caution and optics.
I’m just stating observations, here, it’s not a thesis I’m attached to or have any pride or ego invested in, so by all means, if someone can think of a plausible scenario through which the US could face an actual hot civil war, feed me it
I think an actual civil war would require an entire theatre of command to rebel