And more fun, yesterday I happened to read this:
Aston Martin upgrades: how much lap time will the new AMR26B gain in Hungary?
Aston Martin’s home Grand Prix week began with Adrian Newey publicly apologizing for what has been nothing short of a disastrous start to the 2026 Formula 1 season. Speaking in an interview published on the British team’s social media channels, the legendary designer openly acknowledged the scale of the problems affecting the AMR26.
The first version of Aston Martin’s 2026 challenger has proven to be fundamentally flawed and is already being described as one of the worst cars of the modern Formula 1 era. Its race pace has now fallen more than four seconds per lap behind the leading teams.
However, the former Red Bull technical mastermind has already explained that this dramatic decline in competitiveness is largely the result of Aston Martin’s deliberate decision not to introduce incremental upgrades during the opening part of the season. Instead, the team chose to concentrate almost all of its early development into one major package, which will finally arrive at the Hungarian Grand Prix after originally being scheduled for the Belgian Grand Prix at Spa-Francorchamps.
The cost of the winter delay: overly aggressive choices and an overweight car
As Adrian Newey has already explained, Aston Martin’s season effectively started on the back foot after several months of delays had already accumulated during the winter development programme. His late arrival at the team, the need to settle into a brand-new facility, development tools that were still not operating at their full potential, and newly installed equipment that still required extensive calibration all contributed to the project beginning significantly behind schedule. “We put too many expectations on ourselves. The chassis is certainly overweight, and that’s what happens when you design things in a hurry; the weight inevitably suffers. Aerodynamically, driven by my approach, we took a bold direction without properly exploring alternatives, but that created challenges we hadn’t anticipated.”
These are issues that we had already reported on back in January, when Aston Martin experienced numerous failed crash tests while pursuing the particularly aggressive design philosophy championed by Adrian Newey. On top of the chassis-related difficulties came further complications involving the Honda power unit, although these were considered less surprising within the team. Integrating the two major elements—the chassis and the engine—was another key factor behind the winter delays and the reason why the Silverstone-based squad effectively missed most of the opening pre-season testing at the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya. The vibration issues that emerged were only partially resolved through engineering solutions that ultimately added even more weight to a car that had already been compromised from the outset. Fernando Alonso has even described it as the worst Formula 1 car he has driven during his career.
More struggles expected at Spa as all hopes are placed on Hungary and Zandvoort
With the British Grand Prix now complete, Formula 1 enters a one-week break before returning to action in Belgium. No upgrades are expected at Spa-Francorchamps, and Aston Martin’s leading figures are not anticipating a significantly different weekend compared to the previous races. Instead, all attention is focused on the Hungarian Grand Prix, where the team will introduce a substantial upgrade package for what will effectively be an AMR26B: “The architecture of the nose and the aerodynamic surfaces will change, and we’ve removed weight from components such as the chassis and gearbox,” Adrian Newey has already revealed.
Many are now wondering just how much performance the new package could unlock. Current simulations estimate an average improvement of around 2.5 seconds per lap in race pace on circuits that have already been modelled by both drivers. Approximately two seconds are expected to come from the chassis-related upgrades, while Aston Martin believes the revised Honda engine, scheduled to debut at the Dutch Grand Prix in Zandvoort, will be worth an additional half a second per lap.
The realistic target, therefore, will be to close the gap to the midfield battle involving Racing Bulls and Alpine, while attempting to move ahead of Audi and Haas before further development packages arrive during the second half of the season: “Whether we’ll be fighting for Q2 or not will depend on what we actually see on track, because reality doesn’t always match what the data says,” Mike Krack concluded after the British Grand Prix.
Src: https://gp-news.net/aston-martin-upgrades-how-much-lap-time-will-the-new-amr26b-gain-in-hungary/
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So, if they are 4 seconds behind, gaining 2.5 seconds that the article states would leave them 1.5 secs behind Merc. For fun, I took Austria qualifying and applied that 2.5 gain:
12 Gabriel Bortoleto Audi 1:07.293
13
21 Fernando Alonso Aston Martin 1:07.442
1:09.942
14
13 Oliver Bearman Haas 1:07.523
15
14 Nico Hulkenberg Audi 1:07.611
16
15 Esteban Ocon Haas 1:07.817
17
22 Lance Stroll Aston Martin 1:07.863
1:10.363
18
16 Franco Colapinto Alpine 1:08.171
Even if by some miracle they gain 2.5 seconds, they will still suck. And you have to assume/hope that other teams are going to also gain, probably not 2.5 secs, but anything gained lessens that 2.5 clawback.