US Joe Biden News Megathread - The Other Biden Derangement Syndrome Thread (with a side order of Fauci Derangement Syndrome)

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Let's pretend for one moment that he does die before the election, just for the funsies. What happens then? Will the nomination revert to option number 2, aka Bernie Sanders? Or will his running mate automatically replace him just the way Vice-President is supposted to step in after the Big Man in the White House chokes on a piece of matzo? Does he even have a running mate yet?
 
Biden’s team has called a lid for today:

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Okay lady. :story:
 
He is probably aiming for a 269 electoral tie which sends it to the house of representatives controlled by Nancy Pelosi.
Would not be enough. They need a decisive victory. If it is a tie, Trump will win.

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At first blush, a House tiebreaker would seem to favor Biden and the Democrats, who currently hold a House majority and are likely to keep it even in the event of a presidential vote close enough to produce this hypothetical tied scenario. However, even if they are still in the House minority, Republicans likely would be able to win the tiebreaker vote. That’s because each state House delegation gets a single vote, with majority support — 26 out of 50 — required for the House to elect a president. The Senate elects the vice president, with each member getting a single vote. (The District of Columbia has three electoral votes but no voting representation in the House and the Senate, so it has no vote in this process.)

Presumably, whichever party holds a majority in a state U.S. House delegation would determine how to cast that state’s vote. In some states with single members, such as Vermont and Wyoming, it would be up to that single member which way to vote. Some states might split — for instance, swing state Pennsylvania currently has nine Democratic U.S. House representatives and nine Republicans. It is possible that a tied state would deadlock and not cast a vote.

Still, Republicans currently hold a bare majority of U.S. House delegations, and we continue to favor them to keep that edge.
 
Biden's not winning Iowa, I don't know why people keep claiming he will. Saying Biden will win Iowa this cycle is as absurd as saying he'll win Georgia.
That’s not what GuntPunt is saying. He is saying in the majority of states, there are more Republicans in the House than Democrats. Which is why in a 269-269 tie, Trump would be the favorite to win.
 
Biden's not winning Iowa, I don't know why people keep claiming he will. Saying Biden will win Iowa this cycle is as absurd as saying he'll win Georgia.
You didn't read the quote at the end I take it.

If there is a 269 tie, it goes to the House. Each state gets ONE VOTE per delegation, meaning if there is a majority of Dems or Reps in the House state delegation, thats there vote.

Iowa, for example, has more Democrat representatives than Republican ones. Hence they would vote for Biden. This is NOT a projected vote for president.
 
You didn't read the quote at the end I take it.

If there is a 269 tie, it goes to the House. Each state gets ONE VOTE per delegation, meaning if there is a majority of Dems or Reps in the House state delegation, thats there vote.

Iowa, for example, has more Democrat representatives than Republican ones. Hence they would vote for Biden. This is NOT a projected vote for president.

Ah sorry, I misread the post. You're right, the House favors the GOP. Dems will want to tear the entire system down if this comes to pass, just like the kid at the kickball game who took away their ball everyone was playing with when they got out.
 
Welp, according to Biden4prez.com Joe Biden is +14 points nationality.

So in their eyes he's looking at a 400+ sweep including a blue Texas.

Poll was done by NBC News just after the debate.



What world are these people living in? +14? Blue Texas? Joe may indeed win but these numbers a fucking pipe dreams. No way in the nine hells Biden gets a 400 or more EC win.
 
Welp, according to Biden4prez.com Joe Biden is +14 points nationality.

So in their eyes he's looking at a 400+ sweep including a blue Texas.

Poll was done by NBC News just after the debate.



What world are these people living in? +14? Blue Texas? Joe may indeed win but these numbers a fucking pipe dreams. No way in the nine hells Biden gets a 400 or more EC win.

If that's the poll I'm thinking of, they doubled the oversampling of Dems compared to the previous poll.

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Article
 
I agree. But I know people who have already voted. Trump storming out like Jesus on the third day wont change things for those already voted nor will Biden's implanted microphone suddenly picking up Classic Rock FM and causing him to blurt out Bon Jovi lyrics mid-debate. I'm not sure whether to be worried or glad of early voting, but considering I think Trump will continue to gain ground I lean towards worried.
I can't really know what they're thinking, But iI wonder if this isn't a reason for the big early-voting push. If you were worried about Joe crashing and burning at some point before election day getting as many votes as possible cast before that happens would be awfully helpful.

Lots of states have ways to either vote on election day anyways and toss the mail-in, or otherwise have it changed but that's not going to be something very many people even think of. They've voted, Done. Off doing something else now.
 
Welp, according to Biden4prez.com Joe Biden is +14 points nationality.

So in their eyes he's looking at a 400+ sweep including a blue Texas.

Poll was done by NBC News just after the debate.



What world are these people living in? +14? Blue Texas? Joe may indeed win but these numbers a fucking pipe dreams. No way in the nine hells Biden gets a 400 or more EC win.
Clinton would could similar results from NBC polling all the time, but we know how that turned out. Obama's 2008 win (that was also the highest turnout election in I don't know how long), which can be considered a landslide in modern terms, was only 8.5 points. Nobody is going to get double digits.
 
Biden’s team has called a lid for today:

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Biden is Christian right? She could interpret it as "Keep the Sabbath holy." Which you would have to ignore all the other times he did work on a Sunday.

It could also be sarcasm because Biden has called so many lids that even his supporters are getting tired of it.

I can't really know what they're thinking, But iI wonder if this isn't a reason for the big early-voting push. If you were worried about Joe crashing and burning at some point before election day getting as many votes as possible cast before that happens would be awfully helpful.

Lots of states have ways to either vote on election day anyways and toss the mail-in, or otherwise have it changed but that's not going to be something very many people even think of. They've voted, Done. Off doing something else now.

Odds are anyone who voted early was dead set on a person rather than the issues.
 
Welp, according to Biden4prez.com Joe Biden is +14 points nationality.

So in their eyes he's looking at a 400+ sweep including a blue Texas.

Poll was done by NBC News just after the debate.



What world are these people living in? +14? Blue Texas? Joe may indeed win but these numbers a fucking pipe dreams. No way in the nine hells Biden gets a 400 or more EC win.

Nate "JUST" Silver's world.

Cardboard is projecting extreme swings towards Democrats. Someone compiled each "corrected" margin shift that Nate was giving towards Democrats in each state.
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When compiled with 2016 margins you get this map.
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Pure lunacy.
 
Nate "JUST" Silver's world.

Cardboard is projecting extreme swings towards Democrats. Someone compiled each "corrected" margin shift that Nate was giving towards Democrats in each state.
Wyświetl załącznik 1640436
When compiled with 2016 margins you get this map.
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Pure lunacy.

Seriously though, is Nate Scrapmetal like the pollster equivalent of a tenured college professor who the Democrats just aren't allowed to ever fire for any reason? It seems like he can just predict pretty much whatever he wants, no matter how ridiculous (as long as it shows Dems winning), over and over again with absolutely no fear of discrediting himself.

And also, if the left's standards for polling accuracy really are that disgustingly low then in theory couldn't anyone do the job? Why does Nate Graphite get so much more respect than literally everyone else who can do the exact same thing?
 
Seriously though, is Nate Scrapmetal like the pollster equivalent of a tenured college professor who the Democrats just aren't allowed to ever fire for any reason? It seems like he can just predict pretty much whatever he wants, no matter how ridiculous (as long as it shows Dems winning), over and over again with absolutely no fear of discrediting himself.

And also, if the left's standards for polling accuracy really are that disgustingly low then in theory couldn't anyone do the job? Why does Nate Graphite get so much more respect than literally everyone else who can do the exact same thing?
Nate got respect for predicting the results of the 2008 and 2012 elections.
 
Seriously though, is Nate Scrapmetal like the pollster equivalent of a tenured college professor who the Democrats just aren't allowed to ever fire for any reason? It seems like he can just predict pretty much whatever he wants, no matter how ridiculous (as long as it shows Dems winning), over and over again with absolutely no fear of discrediting himself.

And also, if the left's standards for polling accuracy really are that disgustingly low then in theory couldn't anyone do the job? Why does Nate Graphite get so much more respect than literally everyone else who can do the exact same thing?
he was the only mainstream source in 2016 saying trump had a shot at winning. Traditional media (which had hillary at like 96% or better) put pressure on him and 538 to change their poll weighting. Then trump won, and nate silver really gloated about how he was the only one that said he had a shot at all.

The guy is a sperg for predictive betting in sports, politics, the market, etc. He has reasons for what he says and they aren't bad reasons.
 
Looks like Joe feels he got emasculated by Trump and wants round 2.



Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden will travel to Florida to participate in the next debate and hopes that President Trump will be able to join him despite the president testing positive for the novel coronavirus late last week.

Symone Sanders, a senior campaign adviser to Biden, said on Sunday that the former vice president is “looking forward” to the Oct. 15 town hall-style debate in Miami and that he is hoping Trump will be well enough to attend.

"We are looking forward to the debate on Oct. 15 in Miami," Sanders said during an interview on CNN’s “State of the Union.” "It’s a town hall and, as you know, Vice President Biden loves a good town hall."

Sanders added: “And we are hoping President Trump can participate. We're hoping that he's medically able to participate, and that is up to his doctors to clear him. But Joe Biden will be at that debate."

The future of the next presidential debate was thrown in jeopardy after the president revealed in the early morning hours last Friday that he and First Lady Melania Trump had contracted the coronavirus. Since Trump’s announcement numerous members of his White House inner circle and his reelection campaign have come down with the contagion.

"We hope that [Trump] is medically able to participate, that is up to his doctors to clear him," Sanders said. "But Joe Biden will be at that debate."

Trump is currently receiving treatment at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center in Maryland with Dr. Sean Conley, the president's physician, saying Trump was given a steroid dexamethasone after his blood oxygen level had dropped suddenly twice in recent days.

Trump’s team said Sunday that Trump received oxygen at the White House on Friday, but they were not clear on whether he received any Saturday.

The additional details emerged after White House chief of staff Mark Meadows on Saturday said some of Trump’s vital signs were “very concerning” Friday. That disclosure contradicted a more rosy assessment Trump's doctors had initially provided.

Since becoming infected with the virus, Trump’s campaign has either postponed or moved to a virtual format any events the president was expected to take part in. Neither the campaign nor the Commission on Presidential Debates has made a statement regarding the possibility of Trump participating in the Oct. 15 debate, but the town hall comes just 13 days after Trump announced he had tested positive for COVID-19.

Biden, who shared a stage with Trump at last week’s presidential debate in Cleveland, Ohio, has tested negative for the virus, but Sanders said Sunday that the Democratic nominee will receive another COVID test on Sunday and will continue to do so regularly.

"What I want to communicate is that we are not concerned because we are being safe," Sanders said.

Both Trump, 74, and Biden, 77, are in an age group that is highly susceptible to suffering severe complications from the coronavirus. 8 of 10 COVID-19 deaths in the United States have been in adults 65 years of age or older, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
 
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