Also want to point out that none of this part matters at the TCPA stage, because Stan is not the one suing. Vic has to prove a clear and specific prima facie case for each element of defamation against himself. The only false statement of fact that we may have determined, or at least agreed there is a difference of fact on, is whether or not Stan noticed Monica being upset.
I'm not a lawyer, so I'm going to be parroting what Nick and Ty have both said in regards to "Clear and specific evidence."
The law itself doesn't actually specify what that was. Luckily, the Texas Supreme court has already ruled on this years ago in a case between a gentleman named Lipsky vs. a company called Range. Lipsky filed a suit because they did some horrible job and contaminated his well. Range countersued for defamation and business disparagement due to Lipsky badmouthing the company during the case.
The court ruled that clear and specific evidence isn't clear on circumstantial evidence (I.e., "simply indirect evidence that creates an inference to establish a central fact,) and it is allowed to meet the prima facia burden. Ty met that on all counts. The affidavits, the tweets, ect all met that burden. Whether or not he was able to explain that clearly to the judge is another matter (as well as whether or not the judge cared to even hear the explanation.)
On the flip side, the moving party needs to "establish by a preponderance of the evidence each essential element of a valid defense to the nonmovant's claim" in order to get the TCPA to apply. They need evidence that the defendants exercised 1) their right of free speech (which is defined under that law as "a communication made in connection with a matter of public concern," and includes public figures,) 2) the right to petition, and 3) the right of association. The defense, quite frankly, didn't do any of that (despite Chupp's ruling that Vic was a limited purpose public figure.) (
https://wittliffcutter.com/wp-content/uploads/pdf/bench-bar-TCPA.pdf)
To even qualify as a LPPF, Vic has to be "voluntarily and prominently participate in a
public controversy for the
purpose of influencing its outcome." (
https://dictionary.findlaw.com/definition/limited-purpose-public-figure.html)
Vic hasn't been participating in any of this controversy outside of filing the lawsuit. Literally, he hasn't actually done anything publicly or even spoke about the case. He isn't well known enough to be a public figure.
That's why Nick and Ty were so confidant this all would go past TCPA. The other side doesn't have a valid defense against any of it. Ty just has to bring inferences that point to specific facts, and the defendants have to have evidence towards a valid defense that prove, with a greater than 50% chance, that their claim is true. Marchi (as far as TI is concerned) and Funimation (as far as TI is concerned) are the only two parties that would have claims that fulfill that burden.
The issue is convincing the judge that. And Ty couldn't do that.
Either way, this is all speculation and arm-chair lawyer-ing. I should be taken with about as much salt as a twitter-lawyer. That said, this was just what I understood from what Nick and Ty explained in the past streams.