Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

[ThisIsGonnaBeGood]

So... 20% of oil production gone for at least 5-10 years... American victory somehow?

Yeah, it forces more people to buy from us and less from muzzies. That's downright Crusade-worthy.

 

[Doinker Marmalade]

Yeah, it forces more people to buy from us and less from muzzies. That's downright Crusade-worthy.

Trump admitted that the US had four weeks left of oil left before reaching critical lows in the SPR inventories. What happens when you see the bottom of the tank?

 

[Myrtle the Turtle]

Hasan in shambles

I hate that hypocrite so much. If you wanna be a snobby intellectual socialist fine, if you wanna be an AOC populist, fine, but Hasan is just so egregious, going to China, betting on luxury horse races, casinos, designer clothes, Cuba luxury hotels... If Iran wasn't at war he would totally go over and stay at the IRGC luxury hotels they own. I wouldn't be surprised if he goes to Pyongyang eventually. He spedran nebobaby streamer to corrupt party official in less than 2 years.

 

[ThisIsGonnaBeGood]

Trump admitted that the US had four weeks left of oil left before reaching critical lows in the SPR inventories. What happens when you see the bottom of the tank?

Europeans suffer, which they deserve.

 

[Cognitive Decline]

Ever since fracking/shale the SPR is more for beating down the price of oil, we're not running out of oil here.

 

[ThisIsGonnaBeGood]

Ever since fracking/shale the SPR is more for beating down the price of oil, we're not running out of oil here.

In fact, it's been estimated that we'll be overstocked with oil come September, thanks to a mixture of demand destruction and alternative avenues.

 

[draggs]

Trump admitted that the US had four weeks left of oil left before reaching critical lows in the SPR inventories. What happens when you see the bottom of the tank?

The president signs an emergency order banning oil exports. This adds about 5 million barrels a day of crude oil and 8 million barrels a day of refined products to the US domestic supply. We laugh while the world burns. We could have done this but we didn't want to be mean

 

[A random street in Duluth]

That's right, China is not going to start WW3 over a third country trying to take advantage of it by hoisting a PRC flag and claiming to be Chinese

China has been doing that for decades by now, That's why they were Iran's premier trading partner, they weren't scared to ignore the American embargos. In fact, their freighters kept going right through when Iraq and Afghanistan were still occupied and American naval presence was constant. If 2005 China wasn't afraid to do that, 2026 China sure as hell won't

And yes, Cuba wasn't broken by the embargo. Castro died in bed, their system outlived the Soviet Union and in 2026 the same Communist Party, the same system is in charge. They sure as hell suffered and turned into a shithole even between the communist shitholes, but even the lazy spics did not break and give in, so why anyone is expecting the fanatical desert tribes with vastly more resources and options to do so? The taliban literally fought through decades of occupation by superpowers and did not break, so why would an embargo would do the trick

Are you retarded? Iran can go scorched earth on the wells and refineries but the US can do it right back to them. Something something escalation ladder, measured response.

Sure, but one is an islamic death cult who sees it as their eschatological doom war that brings their messiah back, and the other is a superpower with plenty to lose and little to gain. This is not a balanced outcome. The whole reason Iran is so threatening because they can crash the world economy at will.

 

[Doinker Marmalade]

demand destruction

The president signs an emergency order banning oil exports. This adds about 5 million barrels a day of crude oil and 8 million barrels a day of refined products to the US domestic supply. We laugh while the world burns. We could have done this but we didn't want to be mean

Still waiting for the part that even remotely resembles an American Victory and not a world-wide calamity.

 

[draggs]

Still waiting for the part that even remotely resembles an American Victory and not a world-wide calamity.

You asked what the US would do if the SPR got critically low. The obvious answer to not-seething retards is the US would stop oil exports to provide domestic supply as sufficiently as possible. This answer made you seethe even more so now you're flailing in an attempt to preserve your decimated izzat

China has been doing that for decades by now, That's why they were Iran's premier trading partner, they weren't scared to ignore the American embargos. In fact, their freighters kept going right through when Iraq and Afghanistan were still occupied and American naval presence was constant. If 2005 China wasn't afraid to do that, 2026 China sure as hell won't

And yet the US completely stopped this trade when it wanted to, so the question of what would happen if the US wanted to stop it again has already been answered

 

[Catch The Rainbow]

I can't believe how fucking long this is taking. I know these fuckers hide in literal rat tunnels and shit, but it's insane how after weeks and weeks of ground ops and aerial strikes, they refuse to just fucking go away.
It's not even the entirety of Lebanon. It's just the southern area, and they still can't seem to just get rid of these roaches.

This is the IDF being effective. This is how far they got in 2006

 

[draggs]

And yes, Cuba wasn't broken by the embargo. Castro died in bed, their system outlived the Soviet Union and in 2026 the same Communist Party, the same system is in charge. They sure as hell suffered and turned into a shithole even between the communist shitholes, but even the lazy spics did not break and give in, so why anyone is expecting the fanatical desert tribes with vastly more resources and options to do so? The taliban literally fought through decades of occupation by superpowers and did not break, so why would an embargo would do the trick

The good old if the Westoids don't win a WW2 victory with the other side litrully living in the Stone Age grubbing for worms and drinking their piss, the Westoids lost. Woah buddy

Cuba hasn't been strategically relevant since the Missile Crisis, and has been a shithole since the communists finished destroying its economy in the mid-60s, despite heavy Soviet aid and trade with the not-US rest of the world. US sanctions on direct Cuban trade with third countries were not a thing until 1992. What exactly did they win by preserving their rule of Cuba?

 

[ThisIsGonnaBeGood]

Still waiting for the part that even remotely resembles an American Victory and not a world-wide calamity.

What's the difference?

 

[Doinker Marmalade]

You asked what the US would do if the SPR got critically low.

Yes, I asked what the US would do if the SPR got critically low, to point out the US does not have any good/viable options here.
My apologies, I forgot holding a complex chain of thought is above your paygrade.

 

[Myrtle the Turtle]

Cuba hasn't been strategically relevant since the Missile Crisis,

Wrong. Russia and China have been using it as an espionage home base for their US spying and LatAm operations. No one’s putting missiles there but theyre still fucking with the US. Time to kick em out.

 

[metroid_fetish_ii]

Yes, I asked what the US would do if the SPR got critically low, to point out the US does not have any good/viable options here.
My apologies, I forgot holding a complex chain of thought is above your paygrade.

You're arguing with an accelerationist moron who has nothing to live for. Anybody with friends, family, goals, a career, etc. all knows global collapse isn't tee-hee cute lolz. He won't care until his mother has to choose between gasoline and dino nuggies.

 

[A random street in Duluth]

The good old if the Westoids don't win a WW2 victory with the other side litrully living in the Stone Age grubbing for worms and drinking their piss, the Westoids lost. Woah buddy

So? The embargo still did not break Cuba, even after they were completely cut off from Soviet support. If a full 66 years of total restrictions around a place that can be perfectly blockaded wasn't not enough to break lazy spic island why and how they would be able to break Iran?

And yet the US completely stopped this trade when it wanted to, so the question of what would happen if the US wanted to stop it again has already been answered

It never stopped though. Ships with Chinese flags were let through, until China held them back, to not all in on an already overloaded poker table. If they deemed it critical, they could absolutely keep Iran on a lifeline indefinitely, as they have overhead and alternative, unblockadeable sea routes through the Caspian. Iran is simply too large and too well connected(geographically) to be starved out in any feasible timeframe. Sure, you can try waiting another 47 years and see if it works, but israel is not going to wait and keep trying to drag you into a hot war.

 

[The best and greatest]

Humanist principles pioneered under Christendom and then further refined under the enlightenment are unsuitable for tribal warfare between backward savages.

Genocide or mass subjugation is the ONLY path to lasting peace in places like that. Only a fool would voluntarily choose to live in such a place

Yes, I asked what the US would do if the SPR got critically low, to point out the US does not have any good/viable options here.

The option where we keep our oil for ourselves sounds fine to me.

The onus is now on you to demonstrate why this is not a 'good' or 'viable' option.

 

[Mr. Racewar1488]

So glad you're back, the thread was starting to go to shit without you, man.

The readers of a Happening thread when I start posting and covering a HAPPENING better than any mainstream news network:

0:16

It does warm my Aryan heart when I see users I've never seen post anywhere thank me for my service. I do this for you, my niggas.

0:24

Another attempt by the Israeli army to capture the Ali al-Taher Hill

• After failed attempts. Israeli artillery shelled the area to retry the approach of capturing it.
I thought there was a ceasefire in Lebanon? Bibi, you've got some explaining to do!


Trump says Iran's got 60 days to get their shit together or we'll push their shit in.


Source|Archive
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is likely to continue military operations against Hezbollah despite the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire and the US-Iran agreement’s provisions regarding Lebanon, according to a recent US intelligence assessment.

US intelligence agencies believe Israel will continue strikes against Hezbollah even if doing so complicates negotiations between Washington and Tehran.

The report says Netanyahu faces significant domestic pressure to maintain military action against Hezbollah, which Israel continues to view as a major threat.


10 tankers and an E-3B are operating over the ME right now. 16-46021 is landing at PSAB after a trip from Prestwick. Almost positive that tail number was in the ME before though..?

58-0059 is pictured in the 2nd photo over the UAE but not highlighted.

Boeing KC-46A Pegasus 1x


Ali al-Taher Hill overlooking Nabatieh is believed to be home to the well-known Imad-4 underground complex, a fortified Hezbollah facility reportedly consisting of command centers, tunnels, and strategic weapons storage areas.

The site has long been considered one of Hezbollah’s most significant military positions in southern Lebanon.

Reports indicate that Israeli forces have repeatedly sought to neutralize the facility over the past few months.

 

[draggs]

Yes, I asked what the US would do if the SPR got critically low, to point out the US does not have any good/viable options here.
My apologies, I forgot holding a complex chain of thought is above your paygrade.

Stopping oil exports would be a viable option if the SPR got critically low for any reason though. It would not only be viable, it would be necessary

So? The embargo still did not break Cuba, even after they were completely cut off from Soviet support. If a full 66 years of total restrictions around a place that can be perfectly blockaded wasn't not enough to break lazy spic island why and how they would be able to break Iran?

There were not total restrictions though. Cuba had trade with third countries the entire time, and also Soviet aid until the USSR collapsed. The main economic restrictions imposed in 1992 were a ban on foreign-owned subsidiaries based in the US from trading with Cuba, and the 180-day rule, disallowing ships from docking in US ports for 180 days after docking in a Cuban port for the purpose of trade. Total restriction, though still not accurate, was brought much closer by all foreign, and particularly Venezuelan, oil supply being cut off. After which it was a matter of mere months before Cuba showed its belly to the United States, and is continuing to do so

Blockading Iran would not break it within months, but their GDP last year was about $350 billion, and their pre-blockade oil and gas export revenue about $3.5 billion a month. That export revenue fell about 90% from the blockade. That's a ~9% GDP cut, indefinitely (if the blockade were maintained indefinitely). To compare again to Cuba, despite its economy being shitty, GDP decreased from year-to-year 15 times since 1959 (16 if you count this year, which we won't since this year is only half over). That leaves 51 years it increased. Iran's prospect of replacing that oil revenue is essentially non-existent, they have no other goods or services worth a damn on the global market. An indefinite ~9% GDP cut would be comparable to what Cuba experienced after the collapse of the USSR, and Cuban GDP returned to growth after 3 years. Iran has ~8 and 1/3 times the population of Cuba. Providing for 92 million people is harder than providing for 11 million. Iran would break

It never stopped though. Ships with Chinese flags were let through, until China held them back, to not all in on an already overloaded poker table. If they deemed it critical, they could absolutely keep Iran on a lifeline indefinitely, as they have overhead and alternative, unblockadeable sea routes through the Caspian. Iran is simply too large and too well connected(geographically) to be starved out in any feasible timeframe. Sure, you can try waiting another 47 years and see if it works, but israel is not going to wait and keep trying to drag you into a hot war.

You're not serious if you say things like oh the Caspian Sea could replace its southern exports. There are no bulk tankers of the necessary size on the Caspian. The maximum capacity of the cargo ships on the Caspian available to Iran is about 6,000 tons. Even the smallest standard regional oil tankers have 10x that capacity. Sufficient pipeline capacity to the Caspian ports, and sufficient oil terminal facilities at the Caspian ports, do not exist. China does not want to deal with the blowback from the US of "keep[ing] Iran on a lifeline" when the US is sperging out. They didn't do it this war (aka the US was sperging out)

Wrong. Russia and China have been using it as an espionage home base for their US spying and LatAm operations. No one’s putting missiles there but theyre still fucking with the US. Time to kick em out.

Cuba has been an espionage home base for Russian and Chinese glowniggery since 1960, that did not show itself to be a strategic threat in those years. There were more US-antagonist governments in Latin America in the Cold War than there are now. The environment was much more ripe for Russian and Chinese (and Cuban) glowniggery to have effect. Cuba's government is currently bending over backwards for Washington to save itself, we may not need to do anything more than we are now to achieve the results we want from them

You're arguing with an accelerationist moron who has nothing to live for. Anybody with friends, family, goals, a career, etc. all knows global collapse isn't tee-hee cute lolz. He won't care until his mother has to choose between gasoline and dino nuggies.

I am not an accelerationist and I take care of my mother as she has serious health issues, not the other way around. Thanks though