Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

Good luck with that. Iran has been sanctioned for 40+ years. Just how dependent on imports and exports do you think they are? The global economy is going to cry uncle long before iran does.
Intensely dependent. They are not food sufficient, have limited finished goods manufacturing capability and oil exports account for 25% of their GDP as well as 50% of their fungible monetary supply. If they cant export oil through the gulf of Oman, not only can they not pay salaries, they dont have a money supply at all and also no food.

They are burning through their reserves right now, but ironically their preventing fertilizer to be exported by the gulf states are going to bite them in the ass this winter when this year's crop harvest either fails or is reduced depending on location. Global food prices are going to spike st the same time as the Iranian currency becomes worthless and their own food supplies dwindle. They are looking at Famine this winter.
 
Trump is apparently going to Camp David tomorrow, which is weird since he almost never uses it.
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Source | Archive
 
Intensely dependent. They are not food sufficient, have limited finished goods manufacturing capability and oil exports account for 25% of their GDP as well as 50% of their fungible monetary supply. If theh cant export oil through the gulf of Oman, not only can they not pay salaries, they dont have a money supply at all and also no food.

Thry are burning through their reserves right now, but ironically their preventing fertilizer to be exported by the gulf states are going to bite them in the ass this winter when this year's crop harvest either fails or is reduced depending on location. Global food prices are going to spike st the same time as the Iranian currency becomes worthless and their own food supplies dwindle. They are looking at Famine this winter.
Ukraine has been flat broke since the 90's. Revenue is irrelevant to fighting a war as long as you have friends to fund you and iran has china. If you think iran is going to starve with so many land, sea and air supply routes available I have a bridge to sell you.
 
Trump is apparently going to Camp David tomorrow, which is weird since he almost never uses it.
Could be to protect from leaks for an impending strike? The WH has so many people that its easier for info to leak. Mar-a-Lago is too predictable so Camp David might be the perfect place to contain information.

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Edit: Project Freedom 2.0 is back on.
 
Ostatnio edytowane:

Israeli warplanes carried out airstrikes in the area of the Qaraoun Dam in southern Lebanon’s Beqaa Valley. The Qaraoun Dam is the country’s largest dam and serves as a major source of hydropower generation, irrigation, and drinking water, with an electricity production capacity of roughly 190 megawatts. If the IAF is going to larp The Dambusters I hope the squadron has a dog.

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Iran's delegation to Qatar has returned home after begging for the $12billion$24billion that was promised to them 3000 years ago.

We've apparently restarted Project Freedom maybe? Weird how Trump hasn't Tweeted about it.
Wyświetl załącznik 9060472
Source | Archive
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It seems like this is more limited in scope than last time.

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We're running out of galliumtungsten!!!!!



Iran has recovered the wreckage of a U.S. Air Force MQ-9A Block 5 Extended Range (ER) unmanned combat aerial vehicle (UCAV), which was shot down in the Strait of Hormuz yesterday.
 
Specifically $1.7 billion in euros and swiss francs. It was “owed” to the Iranians from an arms deal with the Pahlavi government before the revolution, originally a $400 million deal that the Shah paid for which was never delivered because that government ceased to exist, so obviously there was no need to deliver the weapons or return the money. $1.3 billion was added as “interest” and the Obama era state department admitted after the fact that they used it as “leverage” to get American hostages out. So they paid $1.7 billion in physical cash as ransom to terrorists using the thinnest possible veneer of “The U.S. doesn’t negotiate with terrorists! Ackshually we always owed them this money, we just happened to realize we needed to pay them back and handed it over at the exact moment they handed over the hostages, and wouldn’t give it to them unless they gave us the hostages, definitely not a ransom payment!!1!”
Its even deeper than that.
The reason cash payment was used was to end-run around congress or any sort of oversight, because Obama knew what would happen if it came out.

The more they kvetch about this the more inclined I am to think it's a hoax. I would absolutely not put it past Iran to ship in child corpses for staged photos to clutch at heart strings.
Iran killed 40,000 of its own citizens in december, so I imagine there were a few child corpses they could use.
the IRGC also ensures schools and playgrounds are near IRGC military sites hoping to create child martyrs.

NetBlocks live metrics indicate that internet connectivity is slowly being restored in Iran after 88 days, the longest nationwide internet blackout in modern history.
The internet is getting browner by the hour. Horrific.

Yes its definitely the US that needs to build trust.

Man, for all the assurances the BROOOOCStards are giving us about how Iran is stronk and totally unfazed by the Trump Blockade and Casino, they are really super desperate to get their hands on that $12 billion ASAP. Can't even wait 30 days, they are REALLY dedicated to getting that cash in hand immediately.
Its really pickles the ol' avocados.

Sultan of Oman signed a decree to increase trade with Iran.
Total.
Muslim.
Death.


Reminder that iran has a several thousand miles land border with railways plus ports on the caspian sea. Also I wonder if they're being cheeky and using gwada in pakistan which is about about 70 miles from iran.
Reminder that excepting the borders with Iraq, that is all mountainous with very poor often unpaved roadways. The single rail-line to towards China does not have the capacity to match one tanker.

Good luck with that. Iran has been sanctioned for 40+ years. Just how dependent on imports and exports do you think they are? The global economy is going to cry uncle long before iran does.
Massively. They are self-sufficient on nothing. They have been relying on selling oil at a discount to offset any effect of sanctions for the past 50 years. The first decades were also pretty much just US ITAR sanctions on Iran and had very limited effects and were moderately easy to bypass.
During this time France was doing a fuck-ton of trade with Iran.

Post 2009 government crackdown was when sanctions got really cranked down and hurt Iran enough to sit down at the table with Obama (and mog him mercilessly).

So its more like 15 years of sanctions, not 50. And trying to keep Assad and the Houthis afloat has put serious strain on Iran/IRGC's finances, to say nothing of IRGC parasitism.

Daily reminder that current festivities kicked off because of protests about the Iranian central bank collapsing and implementing withdraw limits and being unable to process paychecks, leading to hyperinflation and the Government effectively devaluing the currency by 10x overnight via the concept of the Touman.
This, plus a bunch of other shit like Tehran running out of water, caused the protests to get so bad the IRGC authorized the use of live ammo on the protestors and killed 40,000 of its own people.

Ukraine has been flat broke since the 90's. Revenue is irrelevant to fighting a war as long as you have friends to fund you and iran has china. If you think iran is going to starve with so many land, sea and air supply routes available I have a bridge to sell you.
Ukraine is bankrolled by the EU. Iran is supported only by its own money printers and warm-wishes from Moscow.

Iran does not have china. They don't have Russia. China is not an ally, they are just willing to deal with the bullshit required to buy Iran's oil at a steep discount. Iran discounts its oil by about $18 a barrel to compensate refiners in China, India, France, and Spain for dealing with all the bullshit required to handle it.

When Iran offered to up the discount $21/barrel before the blockade, China still said "no thanks".

You BRIC-sucking fags really need to stop multipolaring yourselves to your own geopolitik fan fiction, its embarrassing.

The U.S. and Israel are working on a plan to end Jordan’s custodianship of the Al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem and replace it with a new Israeli-backed “multi-faith” administration, according to Middle East Eye.
That is a LOT of "according to sources" that are not named.
 
"Exports (of oil) don't matter; Iran is a self-sufficient autarky!" Which clearly explains why their entire economy revolves around oil.

"China is supporting Iran's self-sufficient economy because they don't want to lose access to oil!" China could just as efficiently buy Iraqi, Kuwaiti, Emirati, Qatari, Saudi and Bahraini oil. It's a commodity. Who is stopping oil from going from those countries to China? Is it the US blockade of Iran?

You claim not to be brown, and I believe you. Wetbacks and Pajeets work. Your grasp of fundamental economic concepts convince me you're a never-employed spade.
 
THE WAR IS BACK ON, BOYS!
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Just when Tehran has repaired 97% of its destroyed buildings. I'm sure those repairs are of the highest quality.

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Iran's mobile internet will be fully restored today.

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US officials told the Jerusalem post that the USN is NOT restarting Project Freedom.
 
You are one retarded nigger. Iran has been subject to sanctions for decades. "hurr durr, I can get by." Guess what, retard? A huge proportion of Americans are living hand-to-mouth. How's that going to play in the upcoming election? When literally everything they buy is way more expensive, as a direct result of this conflict which they don't care about or understand?

What's your plan, exactly? Also, how retarded are you that you think it's "gas prices?" Nigger, look at diesel prices. Everything you buy is moved by diesel powered vehicles.

You people are so pathetic and retarded, I just have to check in once in a while to marvel at it.
Whatever you say Muhammed. Crow is halal by the way.
 
> Millions of Arabs are in the middle of the Hajj.

> “Encourage” the Iranians to start bombing Arab counties again

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