I think I'm just terminally depressed/online, but the biggest doomer takes I have is this:
1) There's no way to win Iran, it will be a stalemate, Trump looks like a chump for even trying. No ground invasion and gas prices don't recover easily. (FWIW, the gas prices were higher at this time of the year in 2022, and continued to rise).
2) SC picks the worst options in every case (post-ED counting, birthright, etc.) and SAVE Act is dead without major compromises.
3) Paxton will win the primary in Texas but loses against Talarico (a marginal loss, but a loss nonetheless) who had been campaigning, even if the local races stay Republican. Media praises as a win and treats TX as a swing state for 2028.
#1 I'm not sure about. There have been rumors of fuel shocks and "troops imminent" but I don't see it.
#2 is probably likely but who knows.
#3 I'm not sure about, the only polls that show Talarico up are Democrat-sponsored, and I don't even think he has as much charisma as Beto did. I still can't get it out of my head because I am doomer-pilled.