Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

[Bum Farto]

Up and up we go

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Make your bets now. Could break $120 before the end of the week

Im just waiting for it to hit 200 by june. I doubt it would but if this shit keeps going until may or june when it gets hot.

 

[Hunter Hearst Helmsley]

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lol just saw this

Change the name of the country to Isreel. War solved.

 

[DickMain]

CENTCOM released footage showing U.S. strikes on Iranian air assets. The first plane is a C-130, the second is a P-3 ASW variant, and the last aircraft is an Il-76

Three aircraft whose crew could probably lean out a window and high five, each hit dead-on, all without so much as disturbing the shrubbery and pebbles on the tarmac. Who else could do that but us? How have the mudhommeds not gotten it through their turbans that we could put a rocket up their nostril with that sort of accuracy if we wanted?

 

[JayseeDenton]

How have the mudhommeds not gotten it through their turbans that we could put a rocket up their nostril with that sort of accuracy if we wanted?

Browns run on cope. If they manage to kill 1 more american/israeli by the time this is over browns all across the world will get one more day of pretending they're winning against the evil empire and from that one day they will derive more delusional euphoria than you and I will experience across our whole lives.

 

[AN/ALR56]

- WAR IN IRAN | MARCH 11th, DAY 12 RECAP:

- UKMTO reports two vessels have been attacked with projectiles minutes apart. One vessel, 11 nautical miles off the coast of Oman in the Strait of Hormuz, has been struck, and the crew was evacuated. The second vessel was hit 50 nautical miles northwest of Dubai, United Arab Emirates.

- Two Iranian drones made impact near Dubai International Airport, with four injuries reported.

- Iran has shipped 11–12 million barrels of crude to China through the Strait of Hormuz since the start of the U.S. military operation in Iran, CNBC reports.

🛢 - Germany announced it will partially release its strategic oil reserves to offset the rise in oil prices.

🛢 - Japan has also announced it will take similar measures by releasing 15 days' worth of private-sector oil reserves and one month's worth of state oil reserves.

🛢 - The International Energy Agency has decided to release 400 million barrels from its strategic reserves.

- Spain has reduced its relations with Israel, recalling its ambassador. Spain's embassy in Tel Aviv will instead be run by a Chargé d’Affaires.

- Switzerland has closed its embassy in Tehran but is "maintaining an open communication line between Iran and the United States."

- Oman has reported a direct drone hit on fuel tanks.

- "Russia is giving Iran advice on using its one-way drones based on tactics Moscow learned from the war in Ukraine. The help includes evading air defenses and strategies for coordinating combined strikes," CNN reports, citing a Western intelligence source.

- A preliminary U.S. military investigation found that a U.S. Tomahawk missile mistook an Iranian girls' school in Minab for an Iranian naval base.

- U.S./Israeli airstrikes targeted the Iran-backed Popular Mobilization Forces in Mosul, Iraq.

- Deloitte, PwC, and Citi are closing and evacuating their offices in Dubai following threats from Iran against U.S. firms in the Gulf.

- Iran exports more oil through the Strait of Hormuz now than it did before the start of the U.S. military operation in the region, Kpler reports.

- Iranian hackers claimed responsibility after a major cyberattack hit Stryker, a U.S. medical equipment company.

- Three brothers of Iraqi origin have been arrested following the security incident at the U.S. Embassy in Oslo, Norway.

- Iran has laid a dozen mines in the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reports.

- Romania has authorized the use of its airbases for U.S. refueling planes.

- The FBI warned police departments across California that Iran could retaliate for American attacks by launching drones at the West Coast, ABC News reports.

- Hezbollah launched over 100 rockets at Israel in one barrage and carried out multiple barrages throughout the day, by far the most since the start of the war. Multiple joint Hezbollah–Iran attacks on Israel were reported.

- The Iranian drone strike in Kuwait on March 1st caused more damage than initially thought. Dozens of U.S. servicemen suffered serious injuries, including shrapnel wounds and brain trauma, according to CBS News.

- Two oil tankers, not one, were targeted off the coast of Basrah, southern Iraq, by Iranian suicide boats. One was a U.S. oil tanker; one person was killed and 39 were rescued.

- An Iranian drone directly struck a high-rise building in Dubai, UAE, in a possible assassination strike.

🛢 - President Trump has ordered the direct release of 172 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

- A direct impact was reported near Dubai International Airport.

- Israel struck Ramlet al-Baida in Beirut. Lebanese media report 10 deaths, all civilians.

- Iraqi outlet Sabereen reports three deaths among pro-Iranian Iraqi militia groups in Kirkuk, Iraq.

- “The Pentagon tells Congress the first week of the Iran war cost the U.S. $11.3 billion,” an AP source says.

Here's our recap from yesterday: https://x.com/officialrnintel/status/2031572760074530859?s=20

 

[DickMain]

Spoke to source about this, revising it to probably true. Theory is small ground level drones attacking.

"The trees roombas are speaking Vietnamese Yiddish"

 

[Falcos_Commisar]

Brent is over 100 again.

It'll bounce around until the straight is safe to transit

Give it a week or 10 days to calm down

 

[SlipNHonkMach2]

Browns run on cope. If they manage to kill 1 more american/israeli by the time this is over browns all across the world will get one more day of pretending they're winning against the evil empire and from that one day they will derive more delusional euphoria than you and I will experience across our whole lives.

When Assad fell this was incredibly true. The final moment it was confirmed he fled the country and Damascus fell, you had pro-Assadist on the internet pat themselves on the back claiming "He may have been defeated, but can you name another man who lasted as long as he did during a civil war?" in the most pathetic way of conveying that getting participation trophy owned the West.

 

[Libtardism Is Over]

Anyone claiming Iran is secretly winning is beyond ridiculous. Look, I get that the NAFOtards were obviously excessive in their claims that SLAVA UCRAINA would have toppled Putler any day now back in 2022-2024, but these people are definitely delusional in the other direction about BRICS strength.

They simply need to drill it into their heads that Americans have been taxed to death and exploited economic dominance for decades so that our military is superior by far to that of every other nation on Earth combined. That should be common knowledge! Chomo Joe's botched Afghanistan withdrawal, DEI military policies, and giveaways to the Hohols simply aren't enough to counteract all that especially given that Trump took his rightful place back in the Oval Office.

What? You think that just because he speaks in a direct plain simplistic style that he's somehow 'dumb' and our decades-long military buildup is irrelevant? Expecting Iran to win is like expecting a 5 year old girl to punch strongest-man-on-Earth Hafthor Bjornsson to death just because Bjornsson took a few months off from working out before getting back into shape the past few weeks.



take 'Peter Jansen' here for instance (some scandi or libtarded scandi-american) "The biggest and most expensive army this world has seen and it prooves incapable of beating a country which spends less on their army than ICE in the USA."

 

[Spergichu]

Change the name of the country to Isreel. War solved.

1:02

 

[Unredacted TND]

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lol just saw this

So it seems like they'll fold in two days

 

[DickMain]

So it seems like they'll fold in two days

"We will not deal until Isreal no longer exists". Crazy to me that there were so many retards in the other Iran thread thinking the Iran WMD angle was a convenient excuse (it was) and unfounded hysteria (it isn't) as if they wouldn't turn Tel Aviv into a crater the instant they were nuclear-capable (they would).

 

[HodgePodgeRogerDodger]

"We will not deal until Isreal no longer exists". Crazy to me that there were so many retards in the other Iran thread thinking the Iran WMD angle was a convenient excuse (it was) and unfounded hysteria (it isn't) as if they wouldn't turn Tel Aviv into a crater the instant they were nuclear-capable (they would).

I mean it’s more apparent that the entire strike/ operation/ war had multiple justifications. One being nukes which Iran is forever 2 weeks away from getting (supposedly they haven’t denied enriching Uranium beyond what’s necessary for nuclear energy), the other being they support various groups in the region to destabilize it, and the last one is that they are Shia.

The arming and training a bunch of retards is the big issue with how the Houthis (backed by Iran with the drones) started attacking ships. The current stuff in the Strait is much the same issue. The US will not allow that retard shit to happen and can’t. IIRC the Houthis started attacking ships again prior to the Iran shit. It’s likely the bigger reason why Trump decided to go in with Israel. The US will not let some retarded Muslims be pirates again.

 

[JayseeDenton]

Wyświetl załącznik 8688760
lol just saw this

"We will not deal until Isreal no longer exists". Crazy to me that there were so many retards in the other Iran thread thinking the Iran WMD angle was a convenient excuse (it was) and unfounded hysteria (it isn't) as if they wouldn't turn Tel Aviv into a crater the instant they were nuclear-capable (they would).

This is why iran is different from North Korea when it comes to having nukes. Koreans have realistic demands, they are evil as shit but they are rational in the sense that they're not trying to usher in some apocalypse based on some drowned well boy who loves death.

THe kims are evil shits who should be thrown into lava but externally kim's demands are very straightforward and doable: let him keep larping to his populace about how they defeated america, let him keep stuffing his face with cheese and fucking his harem, and leave them alone and they won't fuck with anybody. There is no such appeasement you can offer muslims other than your own severed head.

 

[WhiskeyJack]

Apologies if this has been covered already, but I didn't find any recent mentions of us bombing the Parchin missile plant in Iran, and likely a nuclear weapon site. We seem to have hit it with B-2s.




InstForScience on X

While much of the surrounding solid propellent motor facilities were destroyed by Israeli airstrikes in Oct '24 and June '25, another facility labeled Taleghan 2 in these pictures, was recently rebuilt and hardened after it was hit in '24.

Taleghan 2 is believed to be a nuclear site and was likely used to test compressive effects of shaped lenses for setting off nuclear warheads.


In Nov '25, the site was rebuilt/expanded, while by mid-February it had been covered in concrete and then soil.

Spoiler: Additional pictures of the site before and after strikes

There was much bragging about this "completely invisible" bunker:



But now we've got new satellite photos of the facility that indicate we have since hit it with either BLU-109 or GBU-57 MOP bunker busters, basically Midnight Hammer all over again. These pictures were taken earlier today March 11th.



A close-up all three states:


A comparison between Fordow (left), Taleghan 2 (center), and Natanz (right)

They only tools the Navy has available to mine clear is a Burke destroyer, and I think there's only 8 in the Lincoln Strike Group.

I imagine they want to set up for minesweepers, but I don’t know how they could safely go about it at this point in time.

Seems like most of our anti-mine focus has shifted towards underwater drones, like Archerfish and Knifefish, and soon Riptide, Barracuda, etc.

We've had the Archerfish for years now, like 700+ of them. It's the navy's main mine-neutralizer now. They lower it out a MH-60S Seahawk and then use the drone to hunt down mines and shoot them with shape-charges from a safe distance.

Knifefish is a fully automated UUV mine hunter, so no fiberoptic tether like the Archerfish. Barracuda and Riptide, likewise, but they aren't deployed yet.

The B-2 actually lacks nuclear standoff capability IIRC, it can only carry nuclear gravity bombs.

True, though it might depend how far along the AGM-181 LRSO actually is in development.

About 5 months ago a B-52 with orange test-markings was spotted carrying what appears to be LRSO stealth nuclear cruise missiles, which the B-2 supposedly will carry.

 

[DickMain]

I mean it’s more apparent that the entire strike/ operation/ war had multiple justifications. One being nukes which Iran is forever 2 weeks away from getting (supposedly they haven’t denied enriching Uranium beyond what’s necessary for nuclear energy), the other being they support various groups in the region to destabilize it, and the last one is that they are Shia.

The arming and training a bunch of retards is the big issue with how the Houthis (backed by Iran with the drones) started attacking ships. The current stuff in the Strait is much the same issue. The US will not allow that retard shit to happen and can’t. IIRC the Houthis started attacking ships again prior to the Iran shit. It’s likely the bigger reason why Trump decided to go in with Israel. The US will not let some retarded Muslims be pirates again.

Hey the White House could have told me some Shita durkas kicked down some girl's lemonade stand and I'd have still said bomb em. They don't have to sell me on it. As long as we're not going full-on regime-builder and atomizing them from the stratosphere then I'm happy to have made the tax dollar donation. Just wish they'd have let me sign one of the bombs

 

[AN/ALR56]

The B-2 actually lacks nuclear standoff capability IIRC, it can only carry nuclear gravity bombs.

I think that was semi-kept as a reason to justify it, instead of cancelling it in the mid-80s and just slapping stealth missiles to b-1s and b-52s.

Some B-2 advocates argued that procuring twenty additional aircraft would save money because B-2s would be able to deeply penetrate anti-aircraft defenses and use low-cost, short-range attack weapons rather than expensive standoff weapons. However, in 1995, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) and its Director of National Security Analysis found that additional B-2s would reduce the cost of expended munitions by less than US$2 billion in 1995 dollars during the first two weeks of a conflict, in which the USAF predicted bombers would make their greatest contribution; this was a small fraction of the US$26.8 billion (in 1995 dollars) life cycle cost that the CBO projected for an additional 20 B-2s.

Also the F-22, and b-2 were heavily curtailed by cold war defense cuts, they were left as is with barely no updates bar some software updates to the avionics in the 2010s.
The F-22 was to have a whole new suite of weapons and a lot more sensors than it actually flew with, some of which ended up in the F-35 decades later.

 

[Gurney Halleck]

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lol just saw this

That's an easy fix, Israel should just change its name to the Star of David symbol and go to the next negotiation as The Entity formerly known as Israel.

 

[DickMain]

the Star of David symbol

The Israel Logo all rights reserved

 

[Ghostse]

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Source | Archive

I would take this with a canister of salt. They do describe the rift between the RA and the IRGC but that's not new, nor is the lack of ammo or IRGC forcing the RA to act as meatshields. But doing shit like denying use of ambulance and medica facilities is on point.

Its somewhat likely the missile units are experiencing non-critical shortages of supplies. They are remote and Iran doesn't want to advertise their locations by sending supply convoys. This stuff would become critial if we're looking at say 30 days of war, but its been about 10 days. They should have had supplies stockpiled.

Counterpointing myself: tensions have been heightened since end of december, and as mentioned they woudn't want to advertise their pressence, so they may not have been fully stocked when things officially popped off.

What exactly could they hit near the strait?

Docks, facilities, any reminding ships/hulls, any thing that looks like it could house drones, observation posts.... basically declare a 2 mile "human exclusion zone" inland from their coast. The US has avoided doing this before because ripping up Iran's dockworks would harm Iran's economy long term/hurt reconstruction but may decide "fuck it, we can fix it later" if they are hitting civilian shipping.

Do these retards not realize that they're just weakening their own case? Sure, they can probably scare speculators into driving oil futures up for a day or two, but they're not even just "defending" the Strait anymore.
They're attacking ships completely outside their territory with no real military value. That's not a plan for long-term success.

Muslims lack the IQ to think long term. They are counting on everyone to be as dumb as the TDS/BROOOCS crowd here and "Iran good boy, he dindu nuffin. Trump forced them to launch drones into shopping malls and 3rd nation ships."

I'm betting 130 or plus by the end of Sunday. Naval aviation will try to do something but... I dunno.. I don't think the Navy is up for it. Don't get me wrong, inflation and a recession is not something I'm excited for.

Im just waiting for it to hit 200 by june. I doubt it would but if this shit keeps going until may or june when it gets hot.

I will state it again:
If oil was $65/barrel and 20% of the supply is restricted, we oil shouldn't go much over $80 except via panic "vibe trading".
Which the whole futures market runs on vibe trading to be completely fair.

By midterms Iran will be a distant memory and we may be able to vaca in Cuba. We are already shipping oil from Venezuela, a nation run by a sworn enemy two months ago. We are in day 70 of 2026. The amount of happenings since Trump took office again is increasing exponentially.

Futures will go crazy and again, even if Hormuz remains completely closed, we're looking at $3.00 to $3.60 if no one is needlessly flipping their shit. Not great, but hardly crippling. IT was more expensive under Obama, it shot up there under Biden.

The strategic reserve relases are to prevent panic buying, assuring refiners if needed they'll have oil to gracefully offline their refineries.

How the fuck is that going to convince people to still vote for him come midterms?

The thing is that Trump's response to prices spiking on Sunday was to tell people to suck it up and stop complaining.
Especially with the Senate proving how cowardly and worthless they are in finding any excuse to not pass the SAVE America Act, he might have decided to just put all his focus on this and hold off on caring about the midterms until July or so.

“The leaders who offer blood, toil, tears and sweat always get more out of their followers than those who offer safety and a good time. When it comes to the pinch, human beings are heroic.”

He seems aware of how short people's memories are and is convinced prices will come back down before they have any long-term impact.

Precisely this.
Real oil market will be having ripples until 2027, but the futures market will crater if Iran's government topples and their mostly intact oil infrastructure is in use by a non-sanctioned regime.

It'll bounce around until the straight is safe to transit

Give it a week or 10 days to calm down

So..two more weeks?

---

People should also remember that mines are not something you can just turn on and off.

Point of order: There are mines you can turn on and off using various methods (wire to a control, timing based, using a signal to temporarily put them to sleep). These methods much not wholly reliable, much much MUCH less reliable at sea, and I really doubt Iran has mines of these type. But they do exist.

The B-2 actually lacks nuclear standoff capability IIRC, it can only carry nuclear gravity bombs.

Not true any more.

The 80s/90s nuclear tipped cruisemissiles were designed specifically to be too long to fit in the bombbays of the B-2. This was a nuclear escalation risk as they knew the USSR would flip the fuck out if the US could launch cruise missiles from a stealth craft, so deliberately made it not an option.
There was no true practical purpose for the extra missile length and had shit popped off it would have been short work to make a "sawn off" version. (it also, IIRC, made the B-2 exempt from aspects of START and thus they didn't count against our nuke bombers).
Same reason the nuke tomahawks were made extremely visually distinct from normal tomahawks. They could have made them identical, but the US wanted it to be clear when they were sending tomahawks to a place it wasn't nuke ones.

IIRC when Russia declined to hold to the terms of START the US developed a missile that didn't have nuke package (but cmon) to fit in the B-2.

Interesting. You can see the IR laser designator flicker from the drone targeting the plane. The angle of the US munition looks like its directly above. This could be an exampled of US networked weapons. The drone confirms the target and either relays the info to the bomber or the mutation itself. In this way, the drone is a disposable set of eyes allowing USAF bombers the ability to stay high.

Either that or its all the drone doing the targeting and bombing, but those munitions look more like big JDAMs to me.

As @draggs points out, it doesn't need to be a drone. Modern US aircraft are able to laser designate their own targets, was well as use a laser to tell the computer to get a GPS fix on that target and program it into the bomb. But in most F-16 bomber missions aircraft will operate in pairs with the non-striking aircraft lasing the target for the attacking one.

But it could be a drone, it might also be ground teams - there is really no way to tell.

how did they fuck up the LCS I've seen like 2 posts on this but not sure what it's referring to.
I just saw something the other day saying we have at least one of them in the region

*3 of them operating out of Bahrain -USS Canberra, Santa Barbara and Tulsa
This is right next to the strait

The Canberra specifically is fitted with a mine countermeasure package and seems like its in the region specifically for that purpose

@ToEnsureVerification covers some of it in his post but to expland his tl;dr:

The LCS was so schizophrenic they had two ships very close in size, design, and missions and approved both. Because they were smaller ships, and supposed to be a larger class made over a long time, new and not fully tested technology was put into the design so they could see how it would perform and if it was viable in the future.
This made the teething pains every new ship design has 10x worse, and when combined with all the other program fuck ups, namely budget, there was limited appetite for allowing the ship to mature.
By 2020 the ships had their kinks worked out for the most part (largely by scaling back or removing ambitious things like the swappable modules) but it was too late.

Add to this, the ships were small and thus vulnerable to more types of weapons; they were intended to operate at the very edges of the fleet but were vulnerable to hits from older anti-ship missiles. Most of the ships survivability in a fleet battle hinged on "too small for the enemy to target"

I was one of the posters you rmemeber,
I was also misremembering the scale of the LCS retirement. I remember reading pretty much very ship in the class was scheduled for early retirement, but looks like that was rescinded.

In a minor shift into a vaguely related side topic. Apparently the B-21 Raiders are much further along than anybody realized.
https://youtube.com/watch?v=A0xSQE29SagAs if China’s week could get any worse?

The B-21, to the utter shock of everyone, seems to actually be on schedule and mostly on budget. The wonk is that Northrop saw what happened with their attempts to milk the B-2, which was then massively scaled back by Clinton costing them billions in not just the aircraft but on-going maintance fees as well as their izzat, and do not intend to make the same mistake.

Hitler could comeback from the dead, bringing forth the Fourth Reich and the left would still call Trump bad for going to war to stop him.

"Nazi Trump attacks democratically elected Socialist Leader who modernized Germany"
"Mr. Hitler,an austere Religious scholar leader of the German Nationalist Socialist party which enjoys overwhelming support in Germany for its progressive politics on worker rights. Chancellor Hitler, who is a vegetarian and champion of animal rights, is currently being bombed by Trump for attempting to unify the German people in face of opposition from several fronts, organized by Zionist effots.

Hitler would support Israel unironically.

These modern Jews that btfo browns on the daily would both impress and horrify Hitler with their military power and basedness

Daily reminder that Hitler hated all semites and knew that once the Jews were dealt with, cleansing the mideast of arab filth was going to be next, even though He wished he had access to a brainwashing tool as effective as Islam.