So apparently we're arming the Kurds now in the hopes that they'll lead the internal regime change?
Does anyone have any context on Iranian Kurds (like how many there are, how alienated they feel from the rest of Iran, if they've had a history of armed uprising, and so forth)? Is this a viable strategy, or are we in for another repeat of Iraq/Syria?
Overview of the five Kurdish groups that just formed this coalition, last updated in December. Tl;dr:
PJAK - Iranian wing of the PKK. Queer feminist commies like the ones in Turkey (their mother party) and Syria. Strongest & most active of the five at this time.
KDPI - Oldest gang of Iranian Kurdish secessionists still active. Got buckbroken in the 1990s and hasn't recovered. Primarily Sunni-supported and still seething over the death of their founder
Qazi Muhammad, who tried to carve out an independent Iranian Kurdistan with Soviet support after WW2 but failed & got raped to death by Pahlavi's dad.
Khabat - Originally Islamist & nationalist-oriented, embraced globohomo in 2003 and now has a quota for female leaders among other things. More on them
here, along with shorter descriptions of the others.
PAK - Allies of the Barzani clan which rules Iraqi Kurdistan. Most right-wing element of this coalition, basically just plain Kurdish ethnonationalists. Second-weakest of the militant factions.
Komala Party - Also commies, but less openly globohomo than PJAK and claiming a Maoist orientation back in the day. Collapsed due to both IRGC buckbreaking and the famous leftist infighting.
The fragment which joined this US/Israel-backed coalition are the weakest militant faction in said coalition.
All five are historically anti-monarchy and anti-Islamist secessionists. Plan's probably to use them as cannon fodder/bait to draw the IRGC into places where they can be decimated with coalition air power. Anyone who overthrows the IR, royalists or otherwise, will play the part of Syria's AJ to their Rojava afterward since even Pahlavi is stridently against allowing Kurdish secession (at most he's signaled willingness to maybe give them their own version of Iraqi Kurdistan) and literally nobody in the region wants to see an independent Kurdistan, Turkey least of all. Would be a little sad if the Kurds hadn't kept falling for this same playbook by Uncle Sam for decades, including not even 2 full months ago in Syria.