Pool for how much of the vote Wu gets in the primary

VOTE

  • Victory

    Głosy: 59 12,9%
  • >10%

    Głosy: 40 8,7%
  • 5% ~ 9.9%

    Głosy: 47 10,3%
  • 2.5% ~ 4.9%

    Głosy: 49 10,7%
  • 1% ~ 2.4%

    Głosy: 136 29,7%
  • <1%

    Głosy: 127 27,7%

  • Łączna liczba głosujących
    458
  • Ankieta zamknięta .
I'd like to say 2% but I feel like we'd be jinxing it by being too optimistic and Murphy's Law will come along to subvert and rape our expectations.
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Weirdo insurgent candidates really only make waves in larger-scale elections because they can reach a broader voter base. Flynt is running in a district full of middle-aged white Democrats voting for a seat only middle-aged white Democrats care about during an election where only middle-aged white Democrats will actually go out to vote, and middle-aged white Democrats are one of the most unlikely groups to ever vote out the guy who've they've elected every term for twenty years.

He'll be lucky to break 2% and most of that will be people putting him down on accident.
 
Approximately 8 percent, not accounting for margin of error.
 
But stranger things have happened. Like this 14-year-old who received 8% of the vote in the Vermont gubernatorial Democratic primary.

This is what I picture an IRL version of Eric Cartman would look like.

Lynch 87.3%, Voehl 5.4%, various Write-Ins 5.1%, Wu 2.2%. "Tom Brady" gets more joke write-in votes than Brianna gets real ones.
 
7%-10%, and that's solely because female first name + ethnic last name. If she were running as John Flynt, scattering votes would probably make it completely even between Wu and Voehl. I'm guessing 80%-85% for Lynch, no less.
 
I'll bet a nickel on just under 2%
 
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