Pool for how much of the vote Wu gets in the primary

[AprilRains]

0.8%. That's mainly to split the difference between existing bets. In Cambridge, her numbers would be very much better.

 

[ZKWNordman]

What percentage of the vote does Lynch usually get. I suspect she’ll get some votes simply because some people want Lynch out. I’m going to say 5%

 

[Kroster]

I'm going big, at 6.5%, with most of those being Republicans registered as Independents (who can pull either primary ballot) who are voting for joke candidates. I think the only race on the Republican primary is for Elizabeth Warren's senate seat, and I don't know many Republicans who think that either candidate has a real chance, so plenty will be skipping the primary.

 

[whatever I feel like]

Voting twenty eight percent.

You guys don't even know, you can stick a rock in a primary and if its only the rock and the incumbent you are still going to get a good amount of people going rock.

edit: Oh, there's another one in there too? Fine, 10 percent.

 

[stets]

7%. Virtually all of those will be protest votes or people screwing around; very few votes will be for wu in and of themselves.

 

[AutisticSupervillain]

I'm guessing around 15%, ballotopedia shoes about 22% consistently vote against Lynch. I bet those protest voters would probably go for the "Asian women" over voehl.

 

[ISP]

Warren and Frank's money will get him upwards of 15%

 

[RG 448]

She’s going to pull a Trump.

 

[Next Task]

Whatever the rounding error is for the vote tally.

 

[Prussian Blue]

6.10% is my guess.

 

[valis]

12%

 

[NotoriousD]

2.3%

 

[BILLY MAYS]

Bout tree fiddy.

 

[Tookie]

50.19%

 

[AprilRains]

Surprised no one is covering 4.20% in honor of Warren.

 

[TheMonkeyMan]

I'm guessing around 15%, ballotopedia shoes about 22% consistently vote against Lynch. I bet those protest voters would probably go for the "Asian women" over voehl.

You're looking at the figures for the general elections, not the primaries. The only primary that Lynch was in that I could find on ballotpedia had no one running against him at all.

 

[break these cuffs]

14.88%

 

[XYZpdq]

2. Warren and Warren's gf. Frank has a job and Brianna doesn't do anything ever.

 

[Kosher Dill]

I think the random/protest voters, joke voters, and hanging chads will far outnumber whatever voters actually turn out to support Wu. There's no point even guessing.

 

[AnOminous]

I think the random/protest voters, joke voters, and hanging chads will far outnumber whatever voters actually turn out to support Wu. There's no point even guessing.

John might get more votes than that Voehl guy, who hasn't even collected as much money as John.