Iran Crisis & the 2026 War between Iran and the United States, Gulf States, and Israel - Please focus on news and coverage, not argumentation.

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they actually did it the absolute mad men! they made water-based jihad jeeps!

but also isn't the strait mined to fuck and back according to doomers (and iran, whom they support)? why would the iranians ever send their guys out in boats that would immediately and completely be destroyed if they hit one of those dumb mines in the strait? it's all coming down fast, hormuzsisters...
 
they actually did it the absolute mad men! they made water-based jihad jeeps!

but also isn't the strait mined to fuck and back according to doomers? why would the iranians ever send their guys out in boats that would immediately and completely be destroyed if they hit one of those dumb mines in the strait? it's all coming down fast, hormuzsisters...
I'm pretty sure with GPS, they can provide safe lanes of navigation to these little guys
 
I'm pretty sure with GPS, they can provide safe lanes of navigation to these little guys
it is extremely unlikely that iran has cyberpunk 2077 smartmines. they are probably, at best, local sensor mines that detonate when it detects water motion too close. unless they were taking extremely accurate maritime measurements while frantically laying mines, as everyone was being blown up, entire parts of their navy were being eliminated, and senior officials (whose job was to coordinate that info) were being bombed to shit.

i would be very, VERY apprehensive of hitting the iranian strait AS an iranian right now, because you have no idea where the mines are anymore, especially if they were not anchored correctly. if the mines gave off ANY kind of properly detectable signal that didn't require minesweeping equipment, such as a generic GPS ping, the US would be able to at least detect the ping, and i am truly doubtful that the iranian military kept accurate and detailed notes that were then properly shared with everyone else about mine locations... especially after the IRGC naval headquarters was turned into a fine gray mist a day or so ago.
 
Genuine question - what should their strategy be then given their circumstances? There are 100 smart arse responses you could give for internet points, but what alternatives do they have if they want to fight? Remember this was the most heavily sanctioned country in the world for several years until Russia-Ukraine.
I'll bite.

Realistically? They have no options. They're hyper religious retards so they don't have the IQ to come up with an effective strategy. All they have is local power but no higher level thought is put to how to use it. Maybe if the higher IQ, non-religious Persians were allowed to have some say in things they could have had a chance. Instead Iran is ruled by muzzie retards, so what do you think you could get for a 'strategy'? That's why they just lob missiles/drones and fund terror proxies.

I'll give you a few thoughts/options though
  • Don't concentrate critical leaders into a single place, along with their families
    • Literally every 1st world country already knows this, and it's an obvious policy if you have a brain
    • I commented on this like a year ago or whenever it was when Israel first attacked during peace talks, and now they repeat it again
    • Just because you're "in peace talks" doesn't mean you drop your guard
  • Do targeted strikes against economic and high value targets
    • The Irish figured this out decades ago, make war extremely costly for the opposing side
    • Instead you fund terror proxies that slaughter a bunch of retards at a concert, fucking what?
  • Play the long game
    • Trump is in office, you JUST saw him go around fucking up Venezuela and you're going to talk shit?
    • Why not just fucking wait 4 years, hey even 8 or 12 years if you have to?
    • Now they're set back fucking decades, how much of their shit took literal decades to accumulate and now it's all destroyed
  • Use your now diminished money wisely
    • Do not fund retarded terrorist groups that provide virtually no value and give US/Israeli leaders an excuse to spend more on their military
    • Seriously, what did any of those stupid ass missiles Hamas/Hezbollah chucked into Israel do? Kill a few kikes that had zero value to Israel at large?
    • Learn how to manage your economy, are pistachios really what your retarded dune coon no water having country should be funding?
  • Work for hearts and minds
    • Does killing some random kike win people over to your side?
    • Suicide attacks on niggas that have to take public transport?
    • Look at the people on your "side" now, do you really want people like Hasan as your "side"?
    • Seriously, the only people on Iran's side anymore are braindead faggots without a heart
  • Look at others that were successful
    • "Successful" being relative here, but NK got nukes, maybe if that is your end goal figure out how they did that and copy/update that strategy
Seriously Iran is so fucking retarded it's why you have people who probably wouldn't give a shit if jews were actually being genocided saying they like it that Israel/US is fucking them up.

But they're retarded muzzies so I guess they get what they fucking deserve.
 
Pro-regime channels post a photo of Larijani's hand, showing his ring still on.

I hope he was wearing a respirator, with all that concrete dust he might get silicosis.
It is entirely possible, in fact, probable, that no footage was captured by Iran. Given the advanced tech of that Carrier, I am highly skeptical a dryer lint fire was capable of that kind of damage as well. Something doesn't add up here.
I don't know about on ships but dryer vents can catch on fire extremely easily if the vents aren't put together correctly. Something as simple as putting the wrong size screws in the pipe can make it a fire hazard.
 
I don't know about on ships but dryer vents can catch on fire extremely easily if the vents aren't put together correctly. Something as simple as putting the wrong size screws in the pipe can make it a fire hazard.
something as simple as leaving it uncleaned for 5 days in a row is enough. the ford's laundry facilities work 24/7, meaning that they are probably one of the largest producers of dryer lint in the entire world, and dryer lint is actually a gigantic firestarter. they are estimated to cause over 15,000 fires a year on mainland america, where they can be easily cleaned by people who run them maybe once a day at most. with the toilet troubles the ford has, it's no surprise a dryer caught on fire, one of the nogs doing laundry must not have been paying attention.

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they actually did it the absolute mad men! they made water-based jihad jeeps!

but also isn't the strait mined to fuck and back according to doomers (and iran, whom they support)? why would the iranians ever send their guys out in boats that would immediately and completely be destroyed if they hit one of those dumb mines in the strait? it's all coming down fast, hormuzsisters...
Partially mined. Less than 20 dropped iirc.
 
"Successful" being relative here, but NK got nukes, maybe if that is your end goal figure out how they did that and copy/update that strategy
Iran probably had enough missiles to have a MAD strategy through conventional means. Similar to how NK had MAD before Nukes, they just had to hold a gun against Israel’s head.

They can’t prevent internal subversion/dissent (legitimate or otherwise), but they could’ve put up enough of a guard/failsafe to make large scale strikes untenable.
 
"We all agree the strait has to open up again" -- NATO's Mark Rutte.

Funny how there's no diversity or girl bosses when it's time for kids to go die somewhere.

 
Ostatnio edytowane:
According to Israel's Channel 13, Iran is preparing to begin negotiations with the United States soon. The Iranians are discussing the outlines of the agreement, what their conditions are, and what they are willing to discuss. The assessment in Israel is that this will become an official event with the US and an official request soon.

IMG_7547.MP4

Last night, there was a drive-by on an IRGC checkpoint, but Israel has said they still need to wear down their on-the-ground security forces before they feel confident the populace won't just get mowed down in the streets.
It seems like both of these happening close, and Israel killing de facto leader and forcing president to run off, and us being ahead of schedule... What do you think? Is it gonna end soon?
 
It seems like both of these happening close, and Israel killing de facto leader and forcing president to run off, and us being ahead of schedule... What do you think? Is it gonna end soon?
Yeah, probably. Depends on what you mean by "soon." I'd say it still likely falls within the four to six week timeframe we were told it would be from the start.
May go a little longer, may go a little shorter. Getting bogged down with hard timelines is how you let the enemy know how long they need to hold out before they "win."
 
Latest video from Pahlavi. He praises the turnout for Chaharshanbe Suri & popular defiance of the Islamists' order to not celebrate last night, now calls upon Iranian dissidents to go to the graveyards tomorrow (last day before Nowruz, making it basically Persian New Year's Eve) in order to pay their respects to the fallen from the January massacres & renew their commitment to overthrowing the Islamists. Last time something like this happened (the end of the 40-day mourning period for said January casualties), it sparked a renewed wave of demonstrations in the last week before the US & Israel started bombing, so tomorrow is doubtless intended to be another step towards the big call to arms if not its immediate prelude (if Pahlavi intends to issue that call on Nowruz, this Friday).



Another look at the building where the Iranian intelligence minister, Esmail Khatib, was killed in the early morning hours.



Speaking of which, I haven't seen this posted in the thread and it's not too important given that Pezeshkian is a powerless figurehead currently begging for mercy from the coalition, but the Iranian president has officially confirmed that yes - dat nigga dead fo sho. (Archive - when it's ready)
 
It seems like both of these happening close, and Israel killing de facto leader and forcing president to run off, and us being ahead of schedule... What do you think? Is it gonna end soon?
I feel like US feels almost ready to go home with a Islamic regime complying, but Israel won't accept anything but a new regime.
 
Yeah, probably. Depends on what you mean by "soon." I'd say it still likely falls within the four to six week timeframe we were told it would be from the start.
May go a little longer, may go a little shorter. Getting bogged down with hard timelines is how you let the enemy know how long they need to hold out before they "win."
They still haven't changed the timeline and said we were ahead of schedule.

Let's see where we are in a week.
 
Iran: *literally pisses off the primary military force of NATO, gets bombed into oblivion, still talks shit*
You: Clearly Iran would NEVER challenge NATO.
There is a big difference between shady hybrid warfare tactics and launching an all out conventional attack. Iran thought it was being clever, subverting the US in ways that could further their proxy wars in the Middle East without inviting an all-out attack. For a long time this strategy has had some success, furthering Iranian interests in places like Iraq and Syria without provoking a war with America. They thought they could get away with this forever, and evidently they were very wrong about that.

Hybrid warfare tactics (terrorism, sabotage, espionage, assassinations, cyber attacks etc) are used precisely to avoid a direct confrontation while still undermining your rival. If they merited a conventional response then Russia and NATO would be at war right now.

A very definitely NOT clever strategy would be firing ballistic missiles at random European countries for no reason, guaranteeing an Iran-NATO war. Which is why there was never any prospect of them doing that. But now you're shifting the goalposts from that to a vaguer notion of "challenging NATO".

Not to turn this into Ukraine chat
Yeah I agree, we are going a bit off topic, so I'll just say I agree with you that the European response to Crimea in 2014 was abysmal and a major part of why that war started. Granted the US response courtesy of Obama wasn't much different. I'm not going to disagree with you that Europe is full of useless leaders who make bad decisions, I would just add that you cannot assume the European interest is always in alignment with the US interest, and even when they do align, priorities can be different as well.

In 1966 Charles De Gaulle withdrew France from NATO and ordered all American military personnel be withdrawn from French soil.
Well there is context for that - a similar story to today actually - in 1957 the UK and France planned an operation with Israel to seize the Suez Canal, which had just been nationalised by Gamal Abdel Nasser, President of Egypt. They did so without consulting the US. Did the US send troops to back up their allies? No, they demanded an immediate withdrawal and threatened financial pain if they refused. The UK and France capitulated, which was humiliating for them. From their perspective, they were protecting a vital strategic asset for the Western alliance, and they were stabbed in the back for it. Even those who saw merit in America's concerns about the operation still felt betrayed by their heavy-handed response.

Then there was the Algerian War. Algeria was not just a colony, it was an integral part of the French Republic. It had a massive French settler population. Losing Algeria was as painful for France as losing Texas would be for the US. However, the US actively opposed France in the war and pressured them to give up the territory. Because the US saw it as a colonial war (not wrongly, if we're being honest) and was committed to decolonisation, and was also worried about the Algerians turning to the communists. This was a deep betrayal for France.

So, from the perspective of the French, you have two huge betrayals in the space of a few years. The French were not seeing the US as an ally, but as an overlord that was actively against French interests. Their decision to leave the NATO command structure (but not NATO itself) and evict US troops was about asserting their sovereignty and preventing themselves from becoming too reliant on an unreliable ally. They still wanted to be on side with the Americans, just not under their boot. Ironically De Gaul and Trump would've agreed on a lot.

The US is not asking for Europe to sacrifice 250,000 of its own citizens and billions of dollars because the US wanted Peace in Our Time. That ask was for using bases, and sending some ships to escort oil that goes to European markets.
In a way, the US is asking Europe to accept the worst of both worlds. That is, to accept all the moral, legal and diplomatic liabilities of being part of this war, but without any of the operational oversight or a stake in the shape of its outcome. Why would they do that? A symbolic gesture? Out of a sentimental attachment to the alliance? We're well past that point. Trump has made it quite clear that NATO is no longer an ideological or familial alliance - it is a cold, pragmatic partnership that only has relevance when interests are at play.

But who knows, maybe what we are seeing right now is all performative. Maybe the Europeans know it will take time to get assets ready, and they are just using that time to make a fuss and twist Trump's arm to make a deal. Maybe they can get something from him in exchange for military support? If that is how business is done these days, might as well get in on the game!
 
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