🃏 Bossman Austin Curtis Peterson / BossmanJack / AustinGambles / Austin_07 / irondollah - Gambling addict, convicted felon, scammer, and raging manchild that hates his fucking life, FAKE MONEY

BossmanJack live chat for stream commentary.

WHAT WILL BE THE OUTCOME OF THE NEXT HEARING?

  • Continued

    Głosy: 68 24,9%
  • Sent to Rehab

    Głosy: 26 9,5%
  • Released with time served and a new stack of probation

    Głosy: 80 29,3%
  • Sentenced to enjoy prison for offline gamba

    Głosy: 99 36,3%

  • Łączna liczba głosujących
    273
Plinko has gotta take the cake for the dumbest game on that site
bossman_plinko.mp4

Now that was a winning collection of clips, thanks fren! That Plinko game really got me thinking, it's just so obvious that Lossman has no concept of probability and expected outcomes. Assuming a fair game (lol), with 16 rows the two big jackpots each have a 1-in-65536 chance to hit, but the payout is only in the low thousands. And I don't think he understands that the ball can't get back into a big-winner track once it falls out.

Since I can model this game easily (unlike card games), I went ahead and did a quick simulation autism in Excel using RAND.

Using one of the Plinko games from templeofgames.com with similar payouts to the one Austin is playing, I came up with this:

Slot ## Chances% ChanceWin AmtExpected
010.0015%3843.300.0586
1160.0244%238.900.0583
21200.1831%32.000.0586
35600.8545%6.800.0581
418202.7771%2.100.0583
543686.6650%0.900.0600
6800812.2192%0.500.0611
71144017.4561%0.300.0524
81287019.6381%0.300.0589
91144017.4561%0.300.0524
10800812.2192%0.500.0611
1143686.6650%0.900.0600
1218202.7771%2.100.0583
135600.8545%6.800.0581
141200.1831%32.000.0586
15160.0244%238.900.0583
1610.0015%3843.300.0586
Total:0.9898

The expected outcome is to win back 0.9898 per 1.0000 bet, so a house edge of ~1.02%. I ran a bunch of sequential simulations, starting with $100 and $1 per play. A few did actually win - one even hit the biggest jackpot - but the majority was just a string of losses with an occasional pop of $2 or $6. Most of the time you run out of money after 200-300 rounds:

1694306769058.png

Come to think of it, that graph is basically "The Bossman Experience" no matter which game he plays.

TLDR: his money would last longer just feeding it into a paper shredder $1 at a time. 💸
 
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